2016 Group 1 Silver Chief Classic- free tips and best bookie odds

THE first Group 1 event of 2016 will be run on Saturday night, with the Silver Chief Classic (525 metres) taking centre stage at The Meadows.

The favourite for the $100,000-to-the-winner event is the Mick Fearnley-trained Harlon ($2.60 with Crownbet) which is drawn ideally in box one. The son of Dyna Lachlan and Emmy’s Belle comes into the race as a winner of his past three starts including a slick 29.93 in his heat two runs back.

His biggest threat according to the market is the Ernest Bale ($3.00) which will be aiming to give leviathan owner-breeder Paul Wheeler his second Silver Chief success in three years when he jumps from box two.

Wheeler will also be represented in the final by the talented Marley Bale ($8) which will have to overcome box six to score. The son of Turanza Bale and Dyna Gala is trained by Andrea Dailly who will be hoping 2016 can start off as good as 2015, a year which saw her greyhounds claim nine Group 1 events.

Also with a strong hand in the decider is leading conditioner Jason Thompson who has three runners engaged in the race. His best shot appears to be Moreira ($7.50 with William Hill), while he will also be represented by Invictus Rapid ($9) and Aeroplane Bob ($19).

The Group 1 Silver Chief Classic is race eight on the card at The Meadows and is set to jump at 9:20pm AEDT.

Box One – Harlon
Fawn and White Dog – 35.0kg – July 2013
Dyna Lachlan x Emmy’s Belle
Prize money: $60,280
Trainer: Mick Fearnley
Career: 26: 9-8-2
From box: 3: 2-1-0
T/D: 8: 4-1-0
T/D Best: 29.93
Career Highlights: 2ND 2015 Group 2 Traralgon Cup

“Harlon has gone to the next level in recent weeks and from the red draw he is definitely going to take some beating. In his past two wins here he has recorded impressive first sectionals and if he can reproduce something similar he should be able to hold them out at the first turn. His last 30m isn’t great and if Ernest Bale is within striking range I don’t think he can hold him out but if there is some shuffling behind him, he might be able to steal the prize. Great winning chance but he is likely to be under the odds.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $2.60 with Crownbet

Box Two – Ernest Bale
Black Dog – 35.5kg – August 2013
Turanza Bale x Cara Bale
Prize money: $63,005
Trainer: Steve Collins
Career: 39: 13-9-5
From box: 6: 2-0-2
T/D: 17: 5-2-4
T/D Best: 29.89
Career Highlights: FINALIST 2015 Group 1 Hume Cup

“Ernest Bale is an absolute beast and he showed his true talent with a devastating 29.89 heat win in the first round of this series. He isn’t the best of beginners but he does muster very well and he should get a dream run through at the first turn. I’m expecting him to settle in around third or fourth spot as they head to the back straight and once he gets into some open running he should go into overdrive. He has the ability to lead or come from behind in his races and I am very keen on him in this event.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $3 with William Hill

Box Three – Midwinter
Black Dog – 32.2kg – December 2013
Cosmic Rumble x Tania Two Shoes
Prize money: $17,015
Trainer: Andrew Stewart
Career: 23: 7-4-4
From box: 3: 1-0-1
T/D: 2: 0-2-0
T/D Best: NBT
Career Highlights: WON Ballarat 25.90, 31.45, Bendigo 28.53

“Midwinter is facing his toughest test to date and although I don’t think he can win this event, I do believe he can run a place at nice odds. In his two heat efforts he has been outpaced in the initial stages but once he has got balanced he has really powered to the line. He will settle in the second half of the field but if the outside division find trouble he might get a nice run through and he should add some value to your exotic bets.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $23 with William Hill

Box Four – Invictus Rapid
Black Dog – 33.7kg – February 2014
Cosmic Rumble x Miss Fiesty
Prize money: $37,180
Trainer: Jason Thompson
Career: 16: 8-3-3
From box: 1: 1-0-0
T/D: 8: 3-1-3
T/D Best: 29.84
Career Highlights: WON The Meadows 29.84, Sandown Park 29.41

“Invictus Rapid has a massive engine and he has turned in two powerful efforts in his heat wins. If he could come out running he would be a serious chance of scoring, however from the middle pin he is going to need a lot of things to go his way. His box manners aren’t great and there is a heap of speed drawn out wide, so if he happens to hesitate at box rise he might get shuffled a long way back. Can obviously win but will need all the breaks in the run to the first bend.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $9 with William Hill

Box Five – Moreira
Brindle Dog – 31.2kg – September 2013
Kinloch Brae x Donna Ricca
Prize money: $40,985
Trainer: Jason Thompson
Career: 23: 8-6-3
From box: 1: 0-0-1
T/D: 9: 3-3-1
T/D Best: 29.87
Career Highlights: WON The Meadows 29.87, Sandown Park 29.43

“Along with Ernest Bale he is probably the fastest and most talented chaser in the race, however he can do things wrong early in the race and with the speed in six, seven and eight he is likely to find bother in the run to the first turn. If he could somehow enter the back straight in the top four, he would be a serious chance to threaten for victory but unfortunately I just can’t see it happening. If he gets out to silly odds it might be worth having something small on him as a saver but I can’t back him with any confidence.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $7.50 with William Hill

Box Six – Marley Bale
Black Dog – 30.2kg – November 2013
Turanza Bale x Dyna Gala
Prize money: $24,450
Trainer: Andrea Dailly
Career: 11: 5-3-0
From box:1: 1-0-0
T/D:5: 2-2-0
T/D Best: 29.83
Career Highlights: WON The Meadows 29.83, Sandown Park 29.45

“After a couple months off the racing scene, Marley Bale appears to have returned in fine style having won two of three and one of those wins was here in a devastating 29.83. He is one of the better beginners in the race and with no speed underneath he should get plenty of room to carve across in the run to the first corner. He is quite strong in the run home and he has proven that he can run time with a clear run. He is currently around the $8 mark and that appears to be well over the odds.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $8 with Crownbet

Box Seven – Aeroplane Bob
Black Dog – 35.5kg – January 2014
Turanza Bale x Ritza Night
Prize money: $8,885
Trainer: Jason Thompson
Career: 8: 4-1-1
From box: 1: 1-0-0
T/D: 2: 0-1-1
T/D Best: NBT
Career Highlights: WON Ballarat 25.29, Warragul 25.82, Geelong 25.56

“Inexperienced type but he is an exciting chaser and with a clear run he could cause an upset. He hasn’t had a lot of luck in running in his two heat efforts but he has hit the line quite well and he has been far from disgraced. He is going to be a major player in feature races in the near future, however from the wide draw, he is likely to be posted wide for most of the trip and I can’t really see him getting into contention.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $19 with William Hill

Box Eight – My Silver Chisel
Black Dog – 32.6kg – March 2014
Magic Sprite x Silver Avenue
Prize money: $33,210
Trainer: David Burnett
Career: 11: 6-2-1
From box: 0: 0-0-0
T/D: 8: 4-1-1
T/D Best: 30.08
Career Highlights: WON The Meadows 30.08, Sandown Park 29.55

“Promising speedster and he has a terrific record over this track and trip, however this is a big rise in class for him and he might have trouble getting across in the run to the first bend. He generally has to lead to win his races and his sectionals in recent weeks suggest that he will have trouble crossing the red at the first bend. Great effort to qualify but I can’t see him getting into the race from out here.”

Odds to win the Silver Chief Classic: $15 with William Hill

Top Four: 2 – 6 – 1 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Ernest Bale

Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3,6 ($6 for 100%)

Exacta: 1,2,6/1,2,3,6 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/1,3,6/Field ($18 for 100%)

Quinella: 2 to rove with 1,3,6 ($3 for 100%)