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Race 1 – 595M Novice Grade 5 – 7:08PM
Dewana Angel is showing plenty of potential and she finds herself in a very weak race. Earlier in her career she scored a brilliant 30.15 Cranbourne win and it looked as though she was going to onto much better things. Unfortunately she was rushed into a staying campaign and it didn’t seem to work for her, from the pink box tonight she should get a clear run in the early stages and with her great mid race pace she should put them to the sword as they past the post the first time. It really is a weak race and if you can grab even money or better that is great value.
Buckle Up Axel has shown significant improvement of late and although he doesn’t win very often, he appears well placed in this event. Three starts ago he hit the line solidly when scoring here in 29.95 and he should be suited by the step up in distance. Starlight Ruby is another who steps up in journey and based on her recent Cranbourne performances she should have no trouble with the extra journey. Dyna Treason rounds out the winning chances, had he drawn closer to the fence he would be more fancied, however he can miss the kick at times and he will need the breaks early.
Top Four: 8 – 7 – 6 – 5
Win bet on Dewana Angel
Trifecta: 8/5,6,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 5,6,8/7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 5,6,8/Field/7 ($18 for 100%)
Quinella: 8 to rove with 5,6,7 ($3 for 100%)
Race 2 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 7:25PM
Very tough race as there are a number of quality front runners, with this being said I have no option but to go with Elite Devil in the red. From the red draw he should be able to punch through and hold them out at the first bend. Two starts ago he finished just outside the placings in the Bendigo Cup Final and he followed that up with a handy placing here last week. Last week he appeared to miss the kick a little and he has to work hard in the run. If he gets away on terms tonight he will hold them out and I can’t see them reeling him in when he is running sub 29.60 on the bunny.
Sooty Lee didn’t have a lot of luck here last week but prior to that she had scored three brilliant provincial wins and they were all in quick times. From the two box she should be able to follow Elite Devil through at the first bend and she will make her presence felt off the back straight. Alotta Luck is the run on dog in the event and she isn’t that poorly drawn in the middle. I’m anticipating that she will miss the kick and that should allow her to find the rails in the early stages. She is very fast when given galloping room and she can really run time with a trouble free run.
Top Four: 1 – 2 – 5 – 8
Win bet on Elite Devil
Exacta: 1,2/1,2,5,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1,2,5/1,2,5/Field ($30 for 100%)
Quinella: 1 to rove with 2,5,8 ($3 for 100%)
Race 3 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 7:44PM
Another open race but I think we can find a bit of value in this event. See Him First has been doing most of his recent racing over the staying journey of late but I think he is better suited back to this trip. He is capable of pinging the lids in his races and after a couple of weeks off he should be ready to fire. Prior to stepping up to the staying trip, he had posted some explosive wins at The Meadows over 525m which proves he has the speed to match it with this lot.
Dynamo’s Gift is another who will go around at over’s and he appears suited in this line-up. In recent times he hasn’t experienced a lot of luck but if you look back through his form he has won here in a sizzling 29.46. To make an impact he just needs an ounce of luck early and he will go around at nice odds. Hold On Wincup has been racing in consistent style and he drawn to probably hold the lead, he has scored some fast wins over this distance range and he may give a sight out in front. Dello Bale is the most talented chaser in the race but he will get a long way back early from the middle draw.
Top Four: 3 – 2 – 1 – 6
Win bets on See Him First and Dynamo’s Gift
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3,6 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,2,3/1,2,3,6 ($9 for 100%)
Race 4 – 595M Grade 5 – 8:08PM
Rumbling Rick is stepping up in distance and he has given every indication that it won’t pose any problems. Luckily he finds himself in a race which lacks depth and provided he steps away cleanly he should lead throughout. In his recent placings here over 515m he has appeared to hit the line solidly and he looks to be getting stronger each time. The red has a bit of pace early and might worry him for the first 100m but he should have no trouble burning her off as they past the post the first time.
Rumero Reason has been finding a lot of trouble in his recent racing and he is facing a considerable drop in class. Once again the draw hasn’t done him any favours but he should be able to find the fence soon after the start and he will run home into the quinella spot. Stylish Baroque has been pinging the lids of late and she should give the favourite some trouble early on, however she lacks the class to keep up with him and she should wilter into third spot. Ema’s Princess is quite well drawn in the three box and she has enough talent to cause a boil over.
Top Four: 2 – 4 – 1 – 3
Trifecta: 2/1,3,4/1,3,4 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/1,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/4/Field ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 2 to rove with 1,3,4 ($3 for 100%)
Race 5 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 8:28PM
Good race to open up the quaddie and I think the Darren McDonald trained Quick Succession can get the job done. She has been racing in good style of late and she is normally a very reliable beginner. There is a little pace drawn on her outside but the inside division all lack speed and she shouldn’t have too many issues in the finding the fence. She has a handy 29.64 PB here but I think she is a little better now and she should be able to go sub 29.50 on the bunny.
Ollie Bale looks as the obvious danger after scoring at Geelong in 25.82 last week. The draw helped in his last start win but he did record his sizzling 29.36 PB here from an awkward draw and he should get a nice cart across from Quick Succession in the early stages. Deadly Boy appears to be the only other winning prospect, after a string of luckless efforts he returned to his best with a smart 31.31 Ballarat win last time and he appears well drawn again tonight.
Top Four: 5 – 6 – 2 – 8
Trifecta: 5/2,6,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,5,6/2,5,6,8 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,5,6/2,5,6,8/1,2,4,5,6,8 ($36 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 2,5,6 ($3 for 100%0
Race 6 – 515M Grade 4 – 8:52PM
Wide open affair and I think the down on confidence Lektra Hawk may put his best paw forward. He is likely to start double figures tonight but he is one of the more talented chasers in this event. When on song he is able to show tremendous early speed and with a clean getaway he would have no trouble crossing at the first turn. He is clearly no standout but at the double figure odds he is worth an each way ticket.
I was never a fan of Beckenbauer but his effort last week behind Crawf’s Bread impressed me. He is normally known for being an on the bunny dog but he continued to hit the line well last week after settling second last week. From the red he should be in contention throughout, the only knock on him is that he will be under the odds. Pappa Gallo scored a brilliant 29.45 win here last month and he is likely to be over the odds tonight. He can be a tad hard to follow at times but there is no doubt that he has the talent to match it with these. Crawf’s Bread loves this track and he must be included in all exotic bets.
Top Four: 7 – 1 – 5 – 8
Win bets on Lektra Hawk and Pappa Galo
Boxed Quinella: 1,5,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1,5,7/1,5,7/Field ($30 for 100%)
Race 7 – 595M Mixed 4/5 – 9:11PM
Untraceable has an enormous engine and he looks perfectly placed in the three hole tonight. Last week he was narrowly beaten by My Boy Snoop and I think he can turn the tables on him. Especially is expected to lead from the two and he should be able to drive through at the first bend and sit on her heels for most of the journey. I am expecting My Boy Snoop to be a little further back in the run than last week and therefore Untraceable should get his chance to salute.
Although I think he is going to get further back in the early stages tonight, I still believe he is the main danger. After a slow start he worked his way through the field nicely last week and he really only needs an ounce of luck early to feature. Especially made her middle distance debut last week and she led for a long way, she is likely to lead again and she should have derived a lot of benefit from last week’s performance. Great Spartacus will be well fancied and is in good form, however I don’t think is well suited in the pink tonight, there is a lot of speed underneath and he is likely to be posted wide for most of the trip.
Top Four: 3 – 4 – 2 – 8
Win bet on Untraceable
Boxed Quinella: 2,3,4 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,3,4/2,3,4/Field ($30 for 100%)
Race 8 – 515M Free For All – 9:35PM
Very even affair and the super consistent Hawk Alone is bursting to break through again. After winning at The Meadows in a smart 30.04, he recorded three consecutive placings with the latest being here last week when going down narrowly to gun sprinter Marcus Joe. Once again he isn’t drawn very favourably but there is plenty of speed underneath and that should allow him to glide across to the rail in the early stages with limited interference. He is very good in a field and he should be able to weave his way through the field off the back straight.
Mepunga Armagh was probably a little disappointing after leading here last week, however he is lid pinging at present and if he finds the bunny again he will definitely prove hard to reel in. Awesome Project is going to be well supported but h e has a fair bit of speed drawn either side and I don’t think he will be afforded a lot of favours in the early stages. Clone Your Own could be the blowout chance, his form looks ordinary at present but he has the perfect draw for him and if he happens to come out cleanly he has the talent to cause an upset.
Top Four: 6 – 5 – 4 – 7
Win bet on Hawk Alone
Trifecta: 5,6/5,6/Field ($12 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 4,5,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Race 9 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 9:55PM
Even affair but if the classy Peloton Bale is afforded an ounce of luck he should make light work of these. He has drawn poorly in the six box but his racing pattern suggests he is going to settle back in the field anyway. Two starts ago he stormed to the line when scoring at The Meadows in 29.92 and if he repeats that effort he will take a power of beating. His record here isn’t great but most of those efforts where in much stronger company.
Lektra Bianca is the smokey in the event, she is a reliable beginner and I would expect her to punch through and lead at the first turn. She isn’t a star but she always puts in and she will give a great site at big odds. Al Moran has been racing in great form of late and he has a tremendous turn of foot. The wide draw is a little disadvantage but his box manners are generally pretty good and he should find himself in a prominent position early. Ready To Riot is a gun NSW speedster but she has proven to be costly and very unreliable in recent times. If she can find the form which saw her win at The Meadows in 30.10 she could be a major player tonight.
Top Four: 6 – 2 – 7 – 4
Trifecta: 6/2,4,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Place bet on Lektra Bianca
Boxed Quinella: 2,6,7 ($3 for 100%)
Race 10 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 10:12PM
Very intriguing affair with the two likely favourites drawn on either side of the track. Hostile is a genuine up and coming star, whilst Cosmic Wise has been racing in brilliant style of the middle distances of late. I think Hostile gets his best chance to open up his Sandown Park account. Three starts ago he pinged from the red box and led throughout when scoring at The Meadows in 29.94, his second section and run home times where ultra impressive. If he gets through the first bend unscathed tonight he will be running some serious time on the bunny.
Form says Cosmic Wise it the danger, however I think the talented Searle Bale can cause the biggest problems. She has a tendency to ping the lids from wide draws and her effort behind Xyllia Allen two runs back here over 595m was massive. If she can ping away again she will definitely make the two favoured runners work hard for victory. Cosmic Wise should feature if Searle Bale doesn’t get in her way mid race but I don’t really think this is her race. Astronomic must also be respected, this former WA star had little luck in his Victorian debut here last week and I’m sure his trainer will have him cherry ripe for tonight’s race.
Top Four: 1 – 7 – 4 – 8
Win bet on Hostile if $2.20 or better
Trifecta: 1,4,7/1,4,7/Field ($36 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 1,4,7 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/4,7,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Race 11 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 10:32PM
Duchess Bale hasn’t been afforded a lot of luck in her recent efforts but when on song she is brilliant. Tonight she has a heap of early speed drawn directly underneath and that should allow her to get a nice cart across as they head into the first turn. I reckon she will be able to burn off Hallelujah Henry as they head for the back straight and she will prove too strong in the run to the line.
Hallelujah Henry as mentioned earlier, is armed with explosive early speed and he will be looking for the fence soon after box rise. I am expecting him to carve up the inside division and he should match motors with Duchess Bale for most of the trip. Kiltah Magic has the good draw and she is showing loads of promise, however this is an enormous rise in class for her and I think she may need another run or two before being competitive in this company. Grand Faith could be the surprise packet in the event, he is capable of pinging the lids on occasions and he has won here previously in a very zippy 29.49.
Top Four: 7 – 6 – 4 – 1
Exacta: 6,7/1,4,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Win bet on Duchess Bale
Trifecta: 6,7/1,4,6,7/1,3,4,5,6,7 ($24 For 100%)
Race 12 – 515M Grade 5 Heat – 10:52PM
Very tough race to finish but I think Dyna Glinda will get her chance to show her true ability. Three starts ago she scored a strong 30.56 Cranbourne win but since then she has continued to miss the start and find bother. Tonight she has a very slow beginner drawn underneath and she should be able to find the rail soon after the start. With a trouble free run she is probably a 29.50 chaser and if she gets anywhere near that she will take a power of beating.
Reckless Brown is a faultless beginner and he should lead for a long way. His last 50m is always a worry but if there is any shuffling at the first turn he may just pinch a big enough lead to hold on in the straight. Zipping Felix is an improving type and I think in time he will make a nice stayer, at present he still has enough zip to be a major player in these type of events. Bogner Bale is the real interesting runner, prior to his recent poor form he had showed tremendous promise and he has some sizzling metro wins to his credit. With some luck early he may be a major player in this.
Top Four: 3 – 1 – 8 – 5
Win bets on Dyna Glinda and Bogner Bale(if he is over the odds).
Boxed quinella: 1,3,5,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,5,8/1/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,5,8/Field/1 ($18 for 100%)
Leg 1: 5,6
Leg 2: 1,5,7,8
Leg 3: 2,3,4
Leg 4: 5,6
$48 for 100%
Race 1: Dewana Angel
Race 4: Rumbling Rick
Race 3: See Him First