It’s time to unleash with Sportingbet’s $700 free bet. Brad was on fire Thursday night and it’s time to continue the carnage against Sportingbet.
Race 1 – 520M Grade 5 – 7:30PM
Even race to open the card and I think the speedy Our Lady Di can get the job done. Prior to her poor effort last time, she had been racing in very consistent fashion and on most occasions she had been showing tremendous early speed. Tonight she has slow beginners drawn on either side and that should allow her to drive to the early lead. At the $4 mark she appears to be great value.
Le Burglar is a highly promising chaser and his past two efforts here have been very impressive. In both runs he has missed the kick but soon after he has showed a good turn of foot and worked his way through the field to record two nice placings. The box draw is a big disadvantage again but with an ounce of luck he will make his presence felt. Midnight Rush could be the blow out chance in the event, she is suitably drawn out wide and she was far from disgraced when placed at Grafton last time. She is very fast on her night and she can feature if she can get through the first bend unscathed.
Top Four: 6 – 4 – 8 – 7
Win bet on Our Lady Di
Quinella: 6 to rove with 4,7,8 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 4,6/4,6,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 4,6,8/4,6,7,8/2,3,4,6,7,8 ($36 for 100%)
Race 2 – 520M Grade 5 – 7:50PM
Magic Dream is blessed with explosive early speed and last week he showed that he now has a lot more strength. After stepping cleanly he showed a blistering turn of foot and reeled off very quick sectionals before stopping the clock in a very impressive 29.84. There is a little bit of speed around him but provided he comes out cleanly he should hold them out.
Hector Kahn has the perfect draw and if the main chances in the middle make any mistakes early he should be able to capitalise. He has had a couple of weeks off but at his last start here he led until the shadows of the post and he was far from disgraced in that effort. I’m A Pedro is drawn to get a nice cart across from Magic Dream early and if he reproduces the effort which saw him win here in 30 flat earlier this month he should be in the mix.
Top Four: 5 – 1 – 6 – 2
Win bet on Magic Dream
Trifecta: 1,5,6/1,5,6/1,2,3,4,5,6 ($24 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,5/1,2,5,6 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 5/1,2,6/Field ($18 for 100%)
Race 3 – 520M Grade 5 – 8:10PM
In form trainer Jodie Lord has a stranglehold on this event and she really should land the Trifecta. Cawbourne Cobra has been racing in solid style of late and she should be suited by the empty box underneath her. Before her two recent Canberra defeats she had performed well here in strong company and if she can get away on terms tonight she will play a major role at nice odds.
Paddles Anderson is easily the most talented chaser in the event but unfortunately he can make a lot of mistakes. There is a little bit of speed drawn underneath him and that may allow him to find the rail early and he may be afforded a clear run for most of the trip. Coolabah Jet rounds out the Lord trio and she is likely to set the pace. Two starts ago she was narrowly beaten here in good time and she then followed that up with a convincing 30.58 Canberra win. If she finds the early lead she will prove hard to gun down.
Top Four: 6 – 3 – 2 – 4
Each way on Cawbourne Cobra
Boxed Trifecta: 2,3,6 ($6 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 2,3,6 ($3 for 100%)
Boxed Exacta: 2,3,6 ($3 for 100%)
Race 4 – 520M Grade 5 – 8:27PM
Miss Dover was very unlucky here last week, after pinging the lids and setting a cracking pace, she had her heels clipped at a crucial stage and therefore lost all of her momentum. She still wasn’t going to win the race but she would have finished a lot closer to the winner. Outside of Zipping Angel it is a very weak affair and if she lands on the bunny she will prove very hard to run down.
Zipping Angel is an exciting prospect and she should make her presence felt in her metro debut. She can be a little slow to begin at times and she will need to do everything right as she will be having her first look at the track under race conditions. Obviously if she gets through the first bend unscathed she will definitely make an impact on the scoreboard. Loose Affair is showing promise and he appears suitably drawn out wide, if he can get away on terms he should be in the mix.
Top Four: 7 – 6 – 8 – 1
Each way on Miss Dover
Trifecta: 6,7/6,7/Field ($10 for 100%)
Exacta: 6,7/6,7,8 ($3 for 100%)
Race 5 – 520M Grade 5 – 8:47PM
The speed My Awesome Opal has been a little disappointing in recent weeks, however he should be able to get a cheap lead tonight and he will return to the winners list. Three starts ago he posted a 29.91 win here and a similar run would be good enough to score again, obviously his chances hinge on his ability to lead but I am quite confident he will be in front at the first bend.
Snow Shiraz is the run on dog in the event and with a number of front runners in this event he could be the smokey in the event. He has a handy 29.93 PB here and provided he gets some open space off the back straight he should be able to pick them off one by one as they near the finish line. Pace Ventura is unbeaten in two tries here and his record from wide draws is tremendous. If he can cross in the early stages he will be a major player.
Top Four: 2 – 4 – 8 – 6
Place bet on Snow Shiraz
Exacta: 2/4,6,8 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/4/Field ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/Field/4 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 2 to rove with 4,6,8 ($3 for 100%)
Race 6 – 520M Mixed 4/5 – 9:12PM
Very open affair and I’m going to go with some value in Knot Tellin Ya. I know it seems like I have a love affair with this one but he has been going quite well in recent weeks and at massive odds he is worth following. He has been jumping a lot better of late and tonight he has the luxury of slow beginners being drawn on either side.
Kobi Jay hit the line hard here last week and he has a tremendous record here. The box draw is a disadvantage again but he is always going to get back early and it shouldn’t pose too many problems. Francois Dryva has the favourable draw and if he can reproduce his 29.80 PB run he should be thereabouts. His box manners have let him down in the past and he can’t afford to make any mistakes in this event.
Top Four: 4 – 6 – 1 – 2
Win bets on Knot Tellin Ya and Kobi Jay
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,4,6 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,4,6/1,2,4,6 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1,4,6/1,2,4,6/1,2,3,4,5,6 ($36 for 100%)
Race 7 – 520M Special Event Heat One – 9:35PM
Tough race with a number of chances but I think the best chance appears to be the speedy Magic Display. She has won six of her 12 tries over this trip and she showed that she is back to her best with a sizzling 22.96 Grafton win. There is a little bit of speed drawn underneath but she should have enough natural speed to cross.
Zipping Summah is an explosive talent and she has won here previously in a blistering 29.64. She has been doing most of her recent racing over shorter journeys so there is a little query about her running out a strong 520m. Gradence is the smokey in the event, he always seems to find one better but this race features a number of runners who are suspect over this trip. If he can gain some luck in running he may just run over the top of them in the concluding stages.
Top Four: 8 – 2 – 7 – 4
Place bet on Gradence (must finish top two but I think he might be good value)
Boxed Quinella: 2,7,8 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,8/2,7,8 ($4 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,7,8/2,7,8/1,2,4,6,7,8 ($24 for 100%)
Race 8 – 520M Special Event Heat Two – 9:55PM
Miss Sueko has scored some devastating wins here of late and with an empty box directly outside her she should get every chance to continue on her winning way. Two of her recent wins were in 29.68 and 29.67 respectively and it’s hard to see her being rolled if she can repeat those efforts. This race is a little stronger depth wise than she has been racing against but she should have no trouble adapting to this class.
Bessy Boo is the run on dog in the race and he has been racing in consistent style of late. Obviously he can be slow to begin at times but he has an uncanny knack of being able to work his way through a field. Queen Esther is another winning chance, she can be very hit or miss at box rise but when she hits she can reel off blistering sectionals. Ritza Raider is in good form and he rounds out the winning hopes.
Top Four: 4 – 7 – 6 – 2
Trifecta: 4/2,6,7/Field ($15 for 100%)
Trifecta: 4,6,7/2,4,6,7/1,2,4,6,7 ($27 for 100%)
Exacta: 4,7/1,2,4,6,7 ($8 for 100%)
Race 9 – 520M Grade 5 – 10:15PM
Cawbourne Power has enormous talent when on song and it appears he has found the perfect race. From the pink draw he should be given plenty of room in the early stages to muster speed and that should allow him to get through the first bend relatively unscathed. When given a clear run he is capable of reeling off breathtaking sectionals and he looks far superior to his opposition.
Swan’s Mavis is a lid pinger and in a race which lacks genuine early speed she should find herself in the top two as they head through the first bend. Her form isn’t too crash hot and she may go around over the odds. Inner City is another who could be value, he is suited by the wide draw and his effort here two runs back behind Soaring Eagle was very impressive.
Top Four: 8 – 3 – 7 – 2
Win bet on Cawbourne Power
Trifecta: 8/2,3,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,7,8/3,7,8/2,3,4,5,7,8 ($24 for 100%)
Quinella: 8 to rove with 3 & 7 ($2 for 100%)
Race 10 – 520M Grade 5 – 10:35PM
Tough race which sees three promising speedsters from the same kennel set to do battle. Isabel Enlim, Pure Arrogance and Most Arrogant have all been flying on the provincial circuit in recent months and I think the less fancied of the three in Isabel Enlim can get the cash. She scored back to back 450m Maitland wins recently and she was placed in her only try here. She has the benefit of having seen the track tonight and that should allow her to handle the first bend better than her kennelmates.
Pure Arrogance and Most Arrogant are obviously the two main dangers and they all have similar early speed, however there racing patterns suggest that they are have to lead chasers. With this being the case I think the value bet in the event could be Number Krunch for the place. He is a little one paced but he is very strong and he should get a clear run from the red draw. I would expect him to be hitting the line hard and he should be running past some very tired chasers.
Top Four: 2 – 1 – 3 – 5
Place bet on Number Krunch
Trifecta: 1,2,3/1,2,3,5/1,2,3,5,7,8 ($36 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3 ($3 for 100%)
Leg 1: 2,4,8
Leg 2: 1,2,3,4,6
Leg 3: 2,7,8
Leg 4: 4
$45 for 100%
Race 1: Our Lady Di
Race 9: Inner City