2014 Group Three Casino Cup Final Preview

The Group Three Casino Cup will take place at 6:08pm on Friday evening. The conditions are likely to be a little damp as there has been some rain about in NSW. A late shower is forecast for Friday but hopefully it won’t affect the Casino meeting.

The hot property for this race is the Bradley Northfield trained 30 month old Bralyn Stalker, whose mother Bralyn Maisie won this very race in 2006. The hulking blue dog is the fastest qualifier through to this final but he will have to overcome all the pace drawn on the inside. The Northfield’s will also be represented in the race by Dayseas Jet for Glen and Kingsbrae Molly for Charles.

The field is dominated by dogs sired by Cosmic Rumble and El Grand Senor. Both sires have three runners each in the final. Elite State and Run’s House are the other sires represented in this year’s final.

Previous winners of the event include Pretty Lee, Diamond Deb, Hot Syrup, Bralyn Maisie, Tarawi Gem, Gazza Shiraz, Within Site, Bundanoon, Cawbourne Smash, Bralyn Midge and Glenreagh Rocket.

Check out the fixed odds market at Centrebet, who are also offering readers a $200 free bet.

Here’s a look at all the finalists and an analysis of their chances;

Box 1
Race Odds
$8.50
Heat Replay
 
Dayseas Jet
Trainer
Glen Northfield
Owner
Norma Dacey
Prizemoney
$23,777
Last 10 Starts
6464651231
49 Months   Black   Dog   by   Cosmic Rumble Classy Kate
Start Fair Running Middle Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $283 Rating 93
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
84 26 17 15
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
31% 69%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
18 6 6 3
       
Box 1 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
17 7 1 2
Comments: ARG opinion is – Dayseas Jet is the veteran of this field and boasts a wealth of experience at the track. His form shows six wins and nine placings from 18 starts with a best time of 27.31. The Cosmic Rumble dog has run a place in his last three starts at Casino and loves box one. A big each-way chance at value odds.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.31 27.66 2.73 2.73
Box 2
Race Odds
$7.50
Heat Replay
 
Wilhelm
Trainer
Dean Turley
Owner
Dean Turley
Prizemoney
$12,650
Last 10 Starts
5315372322
30 Months   Fawn   Dog   by   Cosmic Rumble Real Exciting
Start Fair Running Wide Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $226 Rating 90
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
46 9 8 11
       
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
20% 61%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
9 3 2 1
       
Box 2 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
14 5 3 4
Comments: ARG opinion is – Wilhelm’s wins have been well spaced throughout his career but he does have three wins at the track. He finished second behind the hot talent Bralyn Stalker, beaten four and a half lengths in 27.25. His record from box two stands out in his form – of his nine career wins, he has won five from this box.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.40 27.53 2.76 2.79
Box 3
Race Odds
$4.40
Heat Replay
 
Nevaeh Beach
Trainer
Glenda Dart
Owner
Anzac Seven Syndicate
Prizemoney
$27,880
Last 10 Starts
5113116111
33 Months   Black   Bitch   by   El Grand Senor Runya Beach
Start Good Running Rail Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $536 Rating 97
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
52 25 7 6
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
48% 73%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
5 4 0 1
Box 3 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
8 5 1 0
Comments: ARG opinion is – Nevaeh Beach is aiming for her fourth straight victory and like Dayseas Jet and Wilhelm, she is well-boxed in the white as it is a box she has won five from eight from. She has never missed a place at Casino and won her heat in 27.71. She looms as one of the main chances and should be good value with bookmakers.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.36 27.71 2.75 2.82
Box 4
Race Odds
$31.00
Heat Replay
 
I’m A Believer
Trainer
Lee Wylie
Owner
Desmond Cecil
Prizemoney
$13,580
Last 10 Starts
5171112552

30 Months

  Fawn   Dog   by   Cosmic Rumble Black Candy
Start Fair Running Rail Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $617 Rating 88
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
22 10 4 1
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
45% 68%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
1 0 1 0
Box 4 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
1 0 0 0
Comments: ARG opinion is – I’m A Believer performed admirably in his heat last week, finishing four and a quarter lengths behind Nevaeh Beach. He was having his first look at the track last week and coming into the race, had won 10 races from 21 starts. Unfortunately for connections he has been done no favours with the box draw. He is only a fair beginner and is likely to find trouble from this draw as he is surrounded by pace.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
NBT 27.98 2.87 2.87
Box 5
Race Odds
$9.00
Heat Replay
 
Birkdale Beauty
Trainer
Lee Wylie
Owner
Toowynose Syndicate
Prizemoney
$16,745
Last 10 Starts
6121321111
30 Months   Black   Bitch   by   EL Grand Senor Tricky Uno
Start Fair Running Rail Finish

Strong

Prizemoney Rating $493 Rating 99
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
34 12 9 6
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
35% 79%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
1 1 0 0
Box 5 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
3 2 0 0
Comments: ARG opinion is – Birkdale Beauty has won her last four in a row and won her heat in a fast 27.27, not far behind the time recorded by fastest heat winner Bralyn Stalker (27.25). She backed up with a win at Lismore on Tuesday night so she is in real top form. The draw is the only worry but she has the pace to overcome that. Definitely in with a chance.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.27 27.27 2.78 2.78
Box 6
Race Odds
$21.00
Heat Replay
 
Kingsbrae Molly
Trainer
Charles Northfield
Owner
Toni Northfield
Prizemoney
$25,635
Last 10 Starts
1111112112
42 Months   Black   Bitch   by   Elite State Kingsbrae Di
Start Excellent Running Middle Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $1,282 Rating 97
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
20 11 9 0
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
55% 100%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
4 1 3 0
Box 6 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
1 0 1 0
Comments: ARG opinion is – Paw Licking’s sister has never been out of the money in her career and this is her chance to claim a Group Three honour. The only issue for the speedy black bitch is that she only has the one win at this track over the distance from four starts. She was run down by Birkdale Beauty last week to be beaten by just over five lengths. She obviously needs to improve on that to factor in this tough field.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.74 27.59 2.73 2.73
Box 7
Race Odds
$6.50
Heat Replay
 
Pace Ventura
Trainer
Peter Simpson
Owner
Steven Hill
Prizemoney
$23,435
Last 10 Starts
7172342222
32 Months   Fawn   Dog   by   Run’s House Sniveller
Start Excellent Running Rail Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $1,019 Rating 96
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
23 9 6 3
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
39% 78%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
2 1 1 0
Box 7 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
1 1 0 0
Comments: ARG opinion is – Pace Ventura is already a Group Three place-getter and he is expected to go well in this final. He has the fastest first section of all the finalists and is capable of leading from the wide box. He will need to show a clear pair of heels to take out the title though as he was overtaken by Dayseas Jet in his heat to be beaten by a length in 27.73.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.14 27.73 2.71 2.71
Box 8
Race Odds
$2.50
Heat Replay
 
Bralyn Stalker
Trainer
Bradley Northfield
Owner
Lynne Northfield
Prizemoney
$14,300
Last 10 Starts
1115211111
30 Months   Blue   Dog   by   El Grand Senor Bralyn Maisie
Start Excellent Running Rail Finish Strong
Prizemoney Rating $1,021 Rating 100
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
14 10 1 1
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
71% 86%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
5 4 1 0
Box 8 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
3 2 0 0
Comments: ARG opinion is – Bralyn Stalker is the least experienced dog in the race yet he is likely to start the warm favourite. He was excellent last week, leading all the way in a quick 27.25 from box seven. There is a lot of pace on his inside that he will need to cross so the draw would be of some concern this time around. He has own his last five and connections will be confident he can make it six in a row.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.25 27.25 2.76 2.76
1st Res
Race Odds
$9.00
Heart Replay
 
Kikem Shilling
Trainer
Gerard Bowe
Owner
Cye Travers
Prizemoney
$23,570
Last 10 Starts
7111836123
40 Months   Black   Bitch   by   High Earner Bit Sweet
Start Fair Running Rail Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $575 Rating 90
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
41 17 5 3
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
41% 61%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
4 2 1 1
Box Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
N/A N/A N/A N/A
Comments: Will have to show a bit more pace then she did last week if she gains a start. She finished six and a half lengths third behind Birkdale Beauty in her heat.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.23 27.67 2.76 2.82
2nd Res
Race Odds
$101.00
Heat Replay
 
Intensive Storm
Trainer
Dean Turley
Owner
First Timers Partnership
Prizemoney
$19,030
Last 10 Starts
5161148213
30 Months   Blue   Bitch   by   Cosmic Rumble Real Exciting
Start Slow Running Wide Finish Good
Prizemoney Rating $366 Rating 84
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
52 9 6 11
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
17% 50%
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
10 1 1 1
Box Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
N/A N/A N/A N/A
Comments: She will be at big odds if she gets a start. She has just the one win from 10 starts at the track and with that record she will find it hard to crack a place in this field.
Best Casino Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
27.63 27.77 2.74 2.74