2015 Group 2 Launceston Cup final tips & betting preview

THE 2015 Group 2 Launceston Cup pits two Victorian hopefuls against six quality locals in the quest for group glory and $40,000 in prizemoney. The Kelly Bravo-trained pair will be extremely hard to beat, with Ride The Rails set to start as clear favourite from box number two. Kennelmate Waymore’s Blues will need a touch of early luck, but if he can jump to the front he will be very difficult to run down.

Legendary local trainer Ted Medhurst puts the polish on Lillycette, a bitch that he has enormous confidence in. With genuine luck in running she will be mighty tough to hold out late in the event.

Brad Hill Billy is a huge chance from the red box and looks to have a bright future ahead of him. If he can spear the lids, this 25 month-old will give a great site for Allen Clark.

Breaker’s Tip in box five will have a large say in how the race is run. There is no doubt that this dog has the pace to lead the field and if he causes any interference to those on his inside it might make the race for Lillycette.

Box 1
Race Odds
$4.80
 
 
Brad Hill Billy
Trainer
Allen Clark
Owner
S Milgate & H Pringle
Prizemoney
$11,605
Last 10 Starts
2411131322
Jan-13   Black   Dog   by   Kinloch Brae Break Even
Start Fast Running Middle Finish Strong
Prizemoney Rating $644 Rating 90
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
18 5 7 2
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
27 77
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
8 2 4 1
       
Box 1 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
3 1 0 1
ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Most inexperienced chaser in the final but I think he is outstanding up and comer and I give him a great chance of capturing his first feature race final. Last week he was dragged down at a crucial time and I think without that interference he would have given Waymore Blues a genuine scare. His effort in the first round behind Secret Spell was also highly impressive and from the red draw I think he has the speed and class to hold them out and score at nice odds.
Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.64 29.86 5.04  
Box 2
Race Odds
$2.25
 
 
Ride The Rails
Trainer
Kelly Bravo
Owner
Nadine Brown
Prizemoney
$104,890
Last 10 Starts
1123111311
Oct-11   Black   Dog   by   Cosmic Chief Pearl Napolean
Start Good Running Wide Finish Very
Strong
Prizemoney Rating $1,873 Rating 100
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
56 22 14 8
       
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
39 78
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
2 2 0 0
       
Box 2 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
6 3 1 0

Kelly Bravo: “I think he is the better dog out of our two. Just hope that he gives himself a chance early. He is chasing really hard and going well.”

ARG’s Brad Bugeja:All class and has been racing in devastating form in recent months. He was recently placed in the Hobart Thousand and Warragul Cup finals and he probably should have won the Warragul Cup. His two heat wins have been in good time and on both occasions he has scored in commanding fashion, he is obviously going to be a major contender in this event but I’m a little concerned about the box draw as he does like to get wide in his races and he will need some room in the early stages.

Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.66 29.66 5.05 5.06
Box 3
Race Odds
$5.00
 
 
Waymore’s Blues
Trainer
Kellie Bravo
Owner
Brett Bravo
Prizemoney
$90,915
Last 10 Starts
4511125121
Jan-12   Black   Dog   by   Collide Casey’s Angel
Start Fast Running Rail Finish Strong
Prizemoney Rating $1,715 Rating 90
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
53 17 10 7
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
32 64
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
2 1 1 0
Box 3 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
2 0 0 0

Kelly Bravo: “He’s full of confidence and has hit a purple patch. If he jumps likehe can and lead’s Rail’s then he is a chance. We just hope that they don’t interfere with each other.”

ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Scored in best of the night 29.55 last week and he must be respected again, I’m a little worried though because he isn’t the most reliable beginner and he can take a few strides to get going. The one thing he has in his favour is that Sing The Song likes to move right at box rise so he shouldn’t have any runner laying in on him in the first 30 or so metres. Strong winning hope but he will still need to do everything right in the early stages.

Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.55 29.55 5.10 5.10
Box 4
Race Odds
$41
 
 
Sing The Song
Trainer
Robert Grubb
Owner
R Grubb & R Grubb
Prizemoney
$37,435
Last 10 Starts
5421323333

Mar-11

  Brindle   Bitch   by   High Earner Stylish Moon
Start Average Running Wide Finish Fairly Strong
Prizemoney Rating $680 Rating 50
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
55 17 6 9
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
31 58
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
12 2 1 4
Box 4 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
8 3 0 1
ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Has been a great chaser for a quite a while in Tasmania and she is capable of reeling off very smart sectionals, however she has always struggled when she has taken on the real top liners. From the middle pin she will find the going tough and I can’t see her making any noise tonight.
Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.88 30.32 5.01  
Box 5
Race Odds
$3.90
 
 

Breaker’s Tip
Trainer
Gary Fahey
Owner
G Fahey & G Fahey
Prizemoney
$27,075
Last 10 Starts
1161141111
Oct-12  

Black

  Dog   by   Mogambo Dennes Point
Start Fast Running Rail Finish Good to strong
Prizemoney Rating $1,083 Rating 80
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
25 13 5 3
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
52 84
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
6 5 0 1
Box 5 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
1 1 0 0
ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Like the red, he is one of the state’s most talented chasers and he is going to be a major player in upcoming feature events. Last week he used his rails draw to advantage when posting a brilliant 29.63 heat win and a similar effort tonight will see him figure in the finish again. He reeled off a blistering 4.99 to the first marker last week and that would be enough for him to cross in the early stages and if he finds the lure early he will take some catching.
Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.63 29.63 4.99 4.99
Box 6
Race Odds
$8.00
Heat Replay
 
Lillycette
Trainer
Ted Medhurst
Owner
Lee Tindall
Prizemoney
$30,300
Last 10 Starts
1111323112
Apr-12   Black   Bitch   by   Velocette Come Over Nova
Start Average Running Middle Finish Strong
Prizemoney Rating $1,082 Rating 75
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
28 14 6 2
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
50 78
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
5 3 2 0
Box 6 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
2 1 0 0

Ted Medhurst (Trainer): “It’s a very hard race to read, but she is very powerful. If she gets the right sit behind some of the speed dogs then she can over power them. The Bravo pair are very hard to beat and our hopes probably rest on the five leading and us getting a cart over.”

ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Rarely runs a bad race and she will be steaming home at the end. The box draw is against her tonight but she has raced well from awkward draws in the past and if she can follow the yellow across in the early stages she can feature in the finish. I’m not overly keen on her winning chances but she is a must for the exotics.

Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.63 29.81 5.10  
Box 7
Race Odds
$61
 
 
Warehouse Mouse
Trainer
Paul Hili
Owner
All In A Day (Syn)
Prizemoney
$18,735
Last 10 Starts
4164624632
Aug-11   Black   Dog   by   Where’s Pedro Fancy Jaffa
Start Slow Running Middle Finish Average
Prizemoney Rating $646 Rating 35
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
29 6 7 4
Strike Rates
Win % Place %
20 58
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
2 0 1 1
Box 7 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
3 1 0 1
ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Soundly beaten in his two heat runs and is probably pretty fortunate to be in the final. Early in his career he showed tremendous potential but he never really went on with it. Really facing an uphill battle tonight and unlikely to take home any prize money.
Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
30,22 30.22    
Box 8
Race Odds
$21
 
 
Minnie Mogul
Trainer
Paul Hili
Owner
Paul Hili
Prizemoney
$16,205
Last 10 Starts
3762253323
Dec-11   Black and white   Bitch   by  

Collision

Pepper Spice
Start Fast Running Middle Finish Average
Prizemoney Rating $317 Rating 65
Career Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
51 6 14 7
Strike Rates
Win % Place %

12

53
Track & Dist.
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
17 2 6 4
Box 8 Record
Starts 1st 2nd 3rd
6 0 1 2
ARG’s Brad Bugeja:Very interesting runner, she rarely wins in her races but she is never far away and last week she made the classy Ride The Rails work hard for victory. She is going to go around at massive odds tonight and if they happen to bunch up underneath her she may get across early and she will give a sight at odds, she is a must for your exotic bets.
Best Launceston Times
Best Last Sect. Best Sect. Last
29.82 29.82 5.02  

Top Four: 1 – 2 – 5 – 8

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Brad Hill Billy with Sportingbet

Boxed Quinella: 1,2,5,8 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,2/1,2/Field ($12 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,2,5/1,2,5,8/1,2,3,5,6,8 ($36 for 100%)

Exacta: 1,2/1,2,5,8 ($6 for 100%)

Past Discussion

  1. Jeez. 2 Victorian hopefuls up against this and that. Were the Victorians blooded? Err you bet. Were the rest? Well going on tonight’s evidence, they were too. Was it a piglet, possum, kitten, or God forbid a real life ridgey didge fetus. 
    Snoop Dogg, Tim Dog , Bow wow yo yippee yeah.

  2. Jeez. 2 Victorian hopefuls up against this and that. Were the Victorians blooded? Err you bet. Were the rest? Well going on tonight’s evidence, they were too. Was it a piglet, possum, kitten, or God forbid a real life ridgey didge fetus. 

    Snoop Dogg, Tim Dog , Bow wow yo yippee yeah.