Race 1 – 515M Maiden Final – 7:08PM
The Wayne Vassallo trained My Name’s Jessie should get us off to a flying start in the first. Last week she recorded the fastest first split of all the competitors and she managed to hit the line solidly in a sub 30 second heat win. A repeat of that performance will see her go very close again.
Choclotto was far from disgraced after setting the pace in his heat. After going through the first sector in a handy 5.16, he continued to show great dash off the back straight until being headed in the shadows of the post. He is sure to be improved for that effort and he will be enormous value tonight.
Outside of my top two picks there are a host of other prospects. Time For War has the good draw and he hasn’t had a whole lot of luck in his two runs to date. I expect he will show drastic improvement.
Top Four: 2 – 8 – 1 – 5
Suggested Bet: Win bets on both My Name’s Jessie and Choclotto
Quinella: 1,2,8 Boxed ($3 for $1)
Quinella: 2 Roving with 1,5,8 ($3 for $1)
Race 2 – 515M Launching Pad Heat One – 7:24PM
The first heat of the Launching Pad looks to be a very open affair. The top two chances look to be Prince To Excel and Louie Neveelk. After looking at the speed maps, I believe that one of these two should hold the early lead and salute.
Prince To Excel just gets the edge as he is drawn underneath Louie Neveelk. In late March Prince To Excel showed a tremendous turn of foot when scoring two sub 26 seconds Warragul wins. His last 30 metres haven’t been convincing in his previous 500 metre efforts, but I think he is a lot fitter now and he should run it out a lot better.
Louie Neveelk beat a star studded line up in the recent Traralgon Puppy Classic. Throughout that series he showed great box manners and early speed and he seems to have gone to another level. He should be putting plenty of pressure on Prince To Excel early and I expect they will fight out the finish.
Coconut Grove is the likely favourite but from box eight I think he may end up in the car park as they head through the first turn. Moot Point is strong and he has the good draw, so is a must for the exotics.
Top Four: 2 – 3 – 1 – 6
Trifecta: 2,3/1,2,3,6/Field ($36 for $1)
First Four: 2,3/1,2,3,6/8/Field ($30 for $)
First Four: 2,3/1,2,3,6/Field/8 ($30 for $1)
Race 3 – 515M Launching Pad Heat Two – 7:44PM
The exciting Oscura has taken all before him of late and although drawn poorly tonight he should make his way into next week’s rich final. This striking black chaser first caught the eye with a 29.74 Cranbourne win late last month and he then followed that up with a 12 length Warragul win. The most impressive part of the Warragul win was the manner in which he hit the line. Tonight he faces a tough test from the middle pin but I believe he has a fair bit on these, so he should be able to overcome some difficulties in running.
Stylish Baroque looks to be perfectly boxed in the red. Last time she exited this draw she managed to reel off a slick 5.02 first sectional here, a repeat of that will see her leading easily tonight. Although she is likely to set up a big lead early I don’t think she is strong enough to hold off Oscura this early in her career.
Lonesome Pirate is a big time money muncher and he just doesn’t seem to handle the metro tracks too well. Stealthy Mark could be the surprise packet of the race. I expect him to be double figures but he has early speed and he was impressive when scoring at The Meadows recently.
Top Four: 5 – 1 – 6 – 8
Trifecta: 1,5/1,5/Field ($12 for $1)
Trifecta: 5/1/Field ($6 for $1)
Trifecta: 5/1,6,8/1,3,4,6,7,8 ($15 for $1)
Race 4 – 515M Launching Pad Heat Three – 8:08PM
This heat looks to have a number of runners which are armed with early speed. There are four possible leaders and all of them struggle in the last 30 metres or so. After taking this into consideration, it is hard to go past the powerful Texas Titan.
The Jeff Britton trained chaser has continued to improve with every run and last week he put in an enormous effort here. After finding some early bother he must have given the promising Mepunga Moss a five to six length head start off the back straight and he managed to only go down by a nostril. If he can get an ounce of luck in the early stages he will prove far too strong for these.
Lady Goldenpaw has won three of her six tries over this trip and she should be setting a cracking pace out in front. If Tex is within five lengths of her off the back straight I don’t think she can hold him off, but she does look to be a lock for the quinella.
Dyna Orion could be the smokey. He takes a while to wind up in his races but if he can find the rail without getting into bother, he’ll find himself much closer to the speed than normal.
Top Four: 7 – 1 – 4 – 3
Suggested Bet: Have a crack at Texas Titan at Sportsbet. He should be $3.50 and he looks perfectly placed to salute with the $250 free bet. Also rove in quinellas with 1 & 4.
Race 5 – 515M Launching Pad Heat Four – 8:28PM
In what looks to be another very open race, we should be able to find some value. Nifty Neveelk is much better than his recent form suggests and he is blessed with loads of natural early speed. There doesn’t appear to be much speed drawn around him and if he can step on terms he should find himself in the firing line initially. I would expect him to be around the $10.00 mark and if he does lead, there isn’t anything in this line up that can pick him up.
Exciting Queenslander Chant has drawn well in his Victorian debut, but the fact he will be having his first look at the track is a major concern. He’s in good hands and does have a great record from this draw. Obviously if he handles the track he will be a major player but I’m not willing to take the short odds.
Len Wayne caught the eye at Sale last start and he continues to improve with every run, whilst Blurred Lines looks well placed in the eight box. Must include these two in the exotics and quaddies.
Top Four: 4 – 1 – 5 – 8
Suggested Bet: Win bets on Nifty Neveelk and Len Wayne, both should be great value.
Race 6 – 595M Grade 5 Final – 8:52PM
The highly promising Campaspe Will is expected to start favourite and he did score an impressive all the way heat win, however tonight from the wide draw I think he is the lay of the night. There appears to be a lot of genuine early speed drawn underneath him and I think he will be no closer than six off the fence the entire trip.
With notoriously slow beginner Nockabout Aussie drawn underneath, the highly consistent Jewel Bale should get every chance to find the rails early and return to the winners list. Last week in her heat she copped a knock at a crucial stage, however she got going again and managed to get within two lengths of Campaspe Will.
Allen Deed has been pinging the lids in recent times and when you have good box manners, the middle pin can be an advantage on these bend starts. I expect he will be in the mix early and he is quite strong in the run home.
Nockabout Aussie and Hello Good Bye look to be the only other winning hopes. Both have enormous talent but both are not known for their consistency.
Top Four: 2 – 5 – 1 – 7
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Jewel Bale
Trifecta: 2,5/1,2,5,7/Field ($36 for $1)
Quinella: 2 roving with 1,5,7