Race 8: Dyna Yemen
Race 4: Babylon Club
Leg 1: 2,3,5,6,7,8 – Leg 2: 1,8 – Leg 3: 2,5,6,8 – Leg 4: 2
$48 for 100%
1st: $5,750 2nd: $1,645 3rd: $830 GOBIS: $1,000.
Tribal Faith experienced no luck at all here last week and she was still good enough to record a strong placing and I expect her to be a lot better for the run. She is probably better suited to a wider draw but she should show a little more early speed tonight and with the lack of pace on her outside she should be able to get into some open space soon after the start.
Alexis Kelton scored a strong 34.50 heat win and she appears to be the main danger. Last week from the pink she stepped fairly but then showed a great turn of foot that allowed her to assume control very early in the race. If she gains a clear run in the early stages she will take a power of beating.
Mademoiselle Sox has the good draw and she broke through for a well deserved win here last week. She would probably need to lead again tonight but from the red draw that isn’t beyond her.
Fiorelli Micha is the only other winning prospect, she was narrowly beaten in her heat and she has been placed in five of her eight starts to date.
Top Four: 2 – 7 – 1 – 4
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,4,7 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,7/1,2,4,7 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,7/1,2,4,7/1,2,4,5,7,8 ($36 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Great race and I think the highly promising Alex’s Entity can get the job done. Two starts ago he posted a sizzling 25.85 Warragul win and he then followed that effort up with a top placing here last week when beaten by the exciting Walt Bale. Last week he was a tad slow to begin, I’m expecting a much better getaway tonight and if he can find the early lead he will prove extremely hard to reel in.
Emrys was a brilliant 29.43 winner here two runs back and if he can repeat that effort he will take a power of beating. His box manners can let him down at times but he did post a solid first section the last time he exited the red draw.
Dyna Keitaro has a great record here and he should be suited by the drop in class. Two starts ago he wasn’t that far behind the classy Lamia Bale and he has showed recently that he does possess some smart early speed.
Spring Grace is probably the only other winning chance, she has enough speed to lead and if she can build up a nice lead mid race she may just steal the prize.
Top Four: 5 – 4 – 1 – 2
Quinella: 5 to rove with 1,2,4 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 4,5/1,2,4,5 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 5/1,2,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 4,5/4,5/Field ($12 for 100%)
1st: $5,750 2nd: $1,645 3rd: $830.
Tough race to assess but I think Smart Maxwell looks well placed with the empty draw underneath. Four starts ago he looked super impressive when scoring at The Meadows in 34.64 and if he can regain that form he will be right in the finish. He has missed the kick at his last couple but tonight even if he misses away he should get plenty of room to muster speed as they head into the first turn.
He Isn’t Really could be the value in the event, he is much better than his recent form suggests and he finds himself in a race which doesn’t appear to have a lot of early speed. He has prove in that past that he can run some serious time when he lands on the bunny, so with a good getaway he could run a big race at nice odds.
Echelonic Action should be suited by the drop back in distance and a forward showing is expected. Like most of his opposition, he can be unreliable at box rise but the small field will suit and he does pick up speed well after about 40m.
Classy Boy isn’t a winning prospect but he is a must for your exotic bets, he rarely wins but he does have 20 placings from 33 starts.
Top Four: 6 – 3 – 4 – 7
Boxed Quinella: 3,4,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 3,4,6/3,4,6,7 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 6/3,4,7/Field ($15 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Babylon Club looks well placed in the seven box and he is nearing another win. Last week he led early but was overtaken by the super talent Kicking Rocks mid race, however he did kick on well and he only went down by three lengths. If he can cross again tonight he should be able to set up a nice buffer mid race and he should prove too zippy.
Veyron Bale has shown some good signs in his past two starts and if he gets a clear run in the first 50m he should run a bottler. Once again the box draw doesn’t really suit him but if he was given a clear passage he would destroy this lot.
Left Is Right is armed with early speed and he should put himself in the race early on, he has been racing without luck in much stronger company of late and if he can sight the bunny early he should be able to regain some confidence.
Strange Wish is a great dog to plonk for third and fourth in your exotics, he doesn’t win very often these days but he should be running home into a place.
Top Four: 7 – 6 – 3 – 8
Exacta: 6,7/3,6,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 7/3,6,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Quinella: 7 to rove with 3,6,8 ($3 for 100%)
1st: $7,200 2nd: $2,060 3rd: $1,025.
Awesome Project is making his middle distance debut and I think he should be able to pounce on the bunny early and set up a race winning lead mid race. He is obviously a doubt over the journey but the manner in which he hits the line over 515m suggests he shouldn’t have too much trouble covering the ground.
Allen Eryk could be value in this event, he is going to be big odds but he showed a return to form when placed here last week behind Eliza Blanche. From the inside he should settle in a prominent position and he should be at peak fitness now.
Eliza Blanche is a star stayer in the making and she is always a chance, my concern with her is that she is desperate for the fence and there is a fair bit of speed drawn underneath her tonight.
Kiltah Magic set the track alight here last week when she won and broke the magical 34 second barrier, if she pings and leads she will again prove hard to hold out.
Joey Valdez must also be respected and included in your quaddies, he is flying at present and he only needs an ounce of luck early to feature.
Top Four: 3 – 2 – 5 – 7
Boxed Quinella: 2,3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,3/2,3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3/2,5,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,3,5/2,3,5,7/2,3,5,6,7,8 ($36 for 100%)
1st: $7,200 2nd: $2,060 3rd: $1,025 GOBIS: $2,400.
Shall She Rock has been racing well in recent weeks but she hasn’t been receiving a lot of luck in running. From the red draw tonight she should be able to push through into a prominent position early and she should prove too strong and classy for her rivals. She has won three of eight here with a further four placings, so she has everything in her favour tonight.
Julie Bale continues to improve over the staying journey and she should cross and give a great sight. Two starts back she posted a slick 42.55 Meadows win and she followed that effort up with a top placing in the final.
Lady Toy is a must for the exotics, she has been struggling to win of late but she will be charging home at the end and if the gaps open at the right time she can test the two favourites.
Just Ducal rounds out the chances, he is much better than his recent form reads and he has won two races over this track and trip and with slow beginners on either side he should get every chance to make an impact.
Top Four: 1 – 8 – 4 – 5
Quinella: 1 to rove with 4,5,8 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,4,8/1,4,5,8 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/4,5,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,200 2nd: $2,060 3rd: $1,025.
Nockabout Aussie doesn’t have a great record over this journey but he does have a terrific record here over the 515m, tonight from the pink I think he will get a fairly clear passage early and he should be able to show his best. Two starts back he set the track alight with a dazzling 29.40 win here and on that occasion he charged home after settling well back early.
Dyna Kayla returned to her best with a strong 34.54 Meadows win and she should be in the mix for the entire journey again. She is unbeaten over this journey and he PB of 33.99 is extremely impressive, if she happens to ping and lead, they will have their work cut out picking her up.
Ralphy Cinel is another who races well here and he should settle near the speed. He has been luckless in his past three starts but prior to that he did win four on the trot.
Blinker’s On is a classy stayer and he is probably better suited to a longer journey, however he is too good to totally dismiss so he must be included in your exotics.
Top Four: 8 – 5 – 2 – 6
Exacta: 5,8/2,5,6,8 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 8 to rove with 2,5,6 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 8/2,5,6/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $6,260 2nd: $1,790 3rd: $890.
Dyna Yemen is the real deal and with an ounce of luck early he should make light work of this field. Two starts back he was knocked over early but he still managed to pick himself and score at The Meadows in 30.16. With the red expected to lead, he should be able to get a nice sit early and he will assume control mid race.
Top Secret has the good draw and he should lead for a long way, I dont think he can win the race but he must be included in the exotics.
Humphrey Bale returned to his best with an impressive 29.94 Meadows win. He had lost a fair bit of confidence, but last time he pounced on the bunny and he was able to show his best, a similar effort tonight will see him figure prominently.
Ollie Bale rounds out the chances, he can be hard to follow at times but he does have the ability to ping away and he can run time on the bunny.
Top Four: 2 – 4 – 1 – 3
Exacta: 2,4/1,2,3,4 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/1,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,3,4/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4,6,8 ($36 for 100%)
1st: $7,200 2nd: $2,060 3rd: $1,025.
Wide open affair and I think the highly consistent Lamia Bale can get the job done. She is normally a very reliable beginner and she has been challenging some enormous talents of late. Three starts ago he was beaten by Melbourne Cup winner Dyna Villa by less than two lengths and she then followed that effort up with a commanding 29.47 win here. In those efforts she has hit the line quite solidly so I believe she won’t have too much trouble running out the journey.
Oscura charged home from near last to score here last time in 34.53 and I’m expecting him to be in the finish again, he is going to need a few things to go his way early but he has great track sense and he should be in the mix at the end.
Hekate Belle beat a great lineup here over 515m three runs back in a blistering 29.29 and on that occasion she broke the magical 5 seconds to the first marker. If she can show a similar turn of early speed tonight she should have the ability to cross early and she will give a great sight.
Cosmic Wise has a great record over this trip and she was a recent finalist in the Melbourne Cup, the draw is a challenge tonight but she has good box manners and she is a winning hope.
Top Four: 2 – 7 – 6 – 5
Quinella: 2 to rove with 5,6,7 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,6,7/2,5,6,7 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,6,7/2,5,6,7/2,3,4,5,6,7 ($36 for 100%)
1st: $5,320 2nd: $1,520 3rd: $760.
Dyna Nihilist is racing in rare form and his effort to win at Shepparton last time out was enormous. His box manners aren’t great but he is a fierce chaser and he does muster speed quite well, if he can avoid bother in the first 50m he should be able to make an impact. There is a bit of speed around him tonight but that should allow him to settle in around fourth spot early and that is close enough for him to be able to feature.
Ride The Rails has been placed in five of seven here and he is all class on his night. He resumed from a long spell at Bendigo last time and he was far from disgraced when placed in good time. He normally pings the lids and with a clean getaway he should have the speed to burn them off at the first bend.
Allen Malik is racing in consistent fashion and he shouldn’t be too far away again, he should be able to follow Ride The Rails across as they head into the first bend and if he settles in the top two early he should hold on for a place.
Frank Furter is another front runner which must be included in your exotic bets, he races better at the Meadows but he can hold them out and therefore might be able to hold on for a place.
Top Four: 2 – 4 – 5 – 3
Boxed Quinella: 2,3,4,5 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,4/2,3,4,5 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/3,4,5/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Great lineup and I think we can find some value with the talented Allmendinger. His recent form doesn’t look flashy but he is ideally drawn in the red and if you go back through his form he has scored a breathtaking 29.69 Wentworth Park win. So from the inside draw he should sight the bunny early and he will get every chance to reproduce that form.
Margins has a heap of talent but he is still learning to race, four starts back he recorded a commanding 29.53 win here and if he can turn in a similar performance he will take a power of beating.
Quasi Bale continues to get better and he put the time on the board with a sizzling 29.33 win here on Sunday, tonight assignment is a bit tougher because he must exit the middle pin but he is very strong and he has the ability to work his way through the field.
Top Four: 1 – 3 – 5 – 6
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,5 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1,3,5/1,3,5,6/1,2,3,4,5,6 ($36 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/3,5,6/Field ($18 for 100%)
Sandown Park Race 12 – 5th Grade – 515 metres – 10:58pm VIC time
Another good race and I think the consistent Her Highness might just steal the prize. She has been racing well here of late and she has been leading for most of the journey. If she can cross and lead tonight she should set up a nice lead mid race and that might be enough for her to hold on.
Bottom Dollar should settle near the speed and he returned to form with a strong 30.23 Meadows win, he clearly has the class edge but my concern with him is that he can miss away at times.
Deadly Clear has a big engine but he was a tad disappointing here last week. His box manners aren’t great but it is still very hard to ignore his ridiculous 29.12 PB here.
Bayman Bale could be another value bet in the event, he should get a nice cart across early and he did post a scorching 29.88 Meadows win four runs back.
Top Four: 7 – 2 – 8 – 3
Exacta: 2,7,8/2,3,7,8 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,7,8/2,3,7,8/1,2,3,4,7,8 ($36 for 100%)