Sandown Park Greyhounds Tips & Betting Preview May 8th 2014
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Race 1 – 515M Sapphire Crown Heat One – 7:08PM
Star WA speedster Zelemar Fever has been racing in brilliant style of late which is highlighted by her last start 30.34 Cannington win. Having won six of her nine tries from this draw it is hard to look past her. In addition to her great box stats, she has also won here in a handy 29.56 and I think if she leads she will go much faster. I'm expecting her to start around the $1.90 mark, but she should get us off to a flying start.
You Say Goodbye does her best racing here and she has won three of her past four starts in impressive fashion. I don't think she can hold off the favourite in the run home but she has been running out this journey in stronger fashion recently.
Quick Succession will be well supported in this event, however from her wide draw she may find the going tough, at the $4.00 mark she is worth taking on. Wise Ella can ping the lids and if the inside two chasers make any mistakes early I would expect her to capitalise.
Top Four: 1 – 2 – 4 – 8
Suggested Bet: Trifecta: 1/2,4,8/Field ($18 for $1)
Race 2 – 515M Sapphire Crown Heat Two – 7:25PM
There appears to be a fair bit of depth in this heat but I think it's hard to look past expected favourite Prue Bale. In recent times she has been racing over longer journeys, but that has allowed her to improve her box manners and regain her confidence. Tonight she has the benefit of slow beginners drawn either side and I think the rest of the field will have their work cut out trying to reel her in running sub 29.30.
Oakvale Flyer has continued to improve with racing and she really caught my eye at Cranbourne in April when scoring a dynamic 29.93 win. She later followed that good form up with a strong fourth in the Group Two Queensland Futurity. With three wins from six tries here, she looks the main danger.
Tricky Jade recently broke the Dubbo 516M track record and with a clear run tonight she is an obvious danger, however from the middle pin she is likely to find bother initially. Stylish Shazz has enough ability to cause a boil over.
Top Four: 3 – 4 – 2 – 7
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Prue Bale, should get around $2.50 or better.
Race 3 – 515M Sapphire Crown Heat Three – 7:44PM
In what is a very open race, I've settled on another WA star. Te Amo is normally a lid pinger and when on the bunny she can reel off sizzling sectionals. In a race which is stacked with early speed I think she can beat them to the first bend and get away with the prize. In recent times she has been racing in FFA class in her home state, so she should appreciate this company.
NSW visitor Magic Display has taken all before her at Wentworth Park in recent months and she should continue to impress tonight. In her past five starts she has recorded three sub 30 second Wentworth Park wins and she appears to be getting stronger with every run. I have put Te Amo on top but realistically, whoever leads at the first bend between these two will score.
Especially has been struggling in recent times but on her best form she would be a major player. She has four wins and four seconds in ten tries from this draw, so she will get every chance to show her best.
Top Four: 4 – 3 – 1 – 8
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Te Amo, should be around the $3.20 mark.
Race 4 – 515M Sapphire Crown Heat Four – 8:08PM
In another heat which features a couple of interstate stars, I've managed to settle on Sydneysider Ritza Hattie. She appears to be poorly drawn in the middle but with a keen railer drawn directly underneath I'm anticipating that she will get a clear run in the early stages. In recent starts she has shown she is back to her brilliant best with a couple of sizzling Wentworth Park wins and with an ounce of luck at box rise she should fire to the early lead and score a convincing win.
Oakvale Destiny turned a few heads when scoring a 29.76 Cranbourne win in April and she proved that it was no fluke by advancing to the Group Two QLD Futurity final three weeks later. Tonight she is clearly facing her toughest test but I think she should get plenty of room to muster speed in the early stages. If she can get through the first bend unscathed, she will definitely make her presence felt.
Gone To Heaven is a talented WA chaser who will be well supported. I am prepared to leave her out of my tips tonight as she appeared to be very ordinary at Cannington last Saturday night. Searle Bale returned to form her last week from this draw so she must be included in your exotic bets.
Top Four: 4 – 7 – 8 – 1
Suggested Bets:
Trifecta: 4/1,7,8/Field ($18 for $1)
Trifecta: 4/7/Field ($6 for $1)
Race 5 – 515M Harrison/Dawson Heat One – 8:28PM
This race is stacked full of talent and is worthy of being a Group One Final on its own. Reigning Australian Cup champ Buckle Up Wes is expected to start favourite but I've gone with the Jason Thompson trained Innocent Til. After recording four brilliant wins on the trot, he was runner up to kennelmate Black Magic Opal in the Warrnambool Cup final. Tonight he has slow beginners drawn either side so he should be able to burn to the early lead. With a 29.24 PB here, it is hard to see any runner reeling him in.
Buckle Up Wes is the obvious danger, he has an amazing winning record and he is very reliable in the early stages. I think Innocent Til has the speed to burn him off early so he is better suited to the quinella spot.
Crump is easily one of the fastest chasers in training at present but unfortunately he is one of the most unreliable at box rise. Although he has a top record from this draw I still think he is better suited to a wider draw. May be worth anchoring him for third and fourth in your exotic bets. Buckle Up Mason is the other winning chance, he is ideally drawn and has won four of his past five in explosive fashion. Need to mention that first reserve Phenomenal is clearly a chance if he gains a start. Absolutely stunned that the graders couldn't fit him in there best 32 when drawing the heats.
Top Four: 4 – 2 – 1 – 3
Suggested Bets: Win bet on Innocent Til, rove in quinellas with 1 & 2.
Race 6 – 515M Harrison/Dawson Heat Two – 8:52PM
The second heat looks just as strong as the first, yet the country's most in form chaser looks to have a stranglehold on the event. Perfectly drawn out wide Hooksy should have no trouble finding the early lead and I think he can give the 29 second barrier a shake. After missing the start last week, he had to overcome a few difficulties and he still managed to stop the clock in 29.26, this bloke is one serious chaser.
Kiss Me Ketut has the gun draw and he has won four of his ten tries here, if he can step on terms he should be able to match Hooksy for the first 250m of the event, from there on he should have enough left in the tank to hold on for the quinella spot.
Walk Hard is another freak talent but he tends to make a lot of mistakes in the early stages. On talent alone I think he could easily match Hooksy but tonight I think he will be giving him at least a six length head start. Best to anchor this one for second and third in your exotics.
Top Four: 6 – 1 – 8 – 2
Suggested Bets:
Trifecta: 6/1,2,8/Field ($18 for $1)
Trifecta: 6/1,8/1,8 ($2 For $1)
Race 7 – 515M Harrison/Dawson Heat Three – 9:11PM
Gun NSW speedster Red Road comes here with great form and appears suited in this event. Tonight he meets a field which doesn't appear to have a lot of early speed and this should allow him to roll to the early lead and in his brief career to date he has done some damage to the clock when allowed to lead early. He should start around the $4.50 mark and that appears to be value.
Campaspe Will has a tremendous record here and he continues to impress, the only knock against him tonight is the box draw. In recent times he has missed the start but has been fortunate enough to gain a clear run initially. With similar speed drawn either side he may get squeezed out soon after box rise. If he is short it's worth taking him on.
Peter Rocket is perfectly drawn and he is always competitive in this class, if he can step on terms he should settle close to the early lead and figure prominently throughout. Banjo Boy is second up from a spell and I think he may need another run or two before he can show his best.
Top Four: 4 – 6 – 1 – 5
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Red Road.
Race 8 – Harrison/Dawson Heat Four – 9:35PM
The final heat sees superstar Black Magic Opal strut his stuff. He is going to start 2/5 but I honestly can't see him being beaten. Coming off a sizzling win in the Group Two Warrnambool Cup final, he should pounce on the early lead and give nothing else a chance.
Godric Gryfindor could be the smokey in the event. He is going to be enormous odds, but I think he is a great place bet. With two slow beginners drawn underneath he should be able to settle on the favourites hammer as they head through the first bend and in recent times he has run the 500m trip out quite strongly. At around the $3.00 mark for the place I think that will be enormous value.
Tyronimo is ideally drawn and he has been racing in consistent form, he is going to get a long way back early but he will hit the line in solid fashion. Worth anchoring for third and fourth in the exotics bets.
Top Four: 3 – 8 – 1 – 2
Suggested Bet: Godric Gryfindor for the place.
Race 9 – 595M Novice Final – 9:55PM
In an open race, I've settled on the promising Rinash. After stepping on terms, he showed a solid turn of foot to settle near the speed before going on to score a hand 34.68 heat win. He appeared to get a little tired in the run home but I think he will be much better for that effort. Tonight I would expect him to get a much easier lead and therefore hit the line much better.
Atlas Genius is perfectly drawn out wide and he really caught the eye when leading all the way in his slick 34.55 heat win. If he can show the same box manners he should find himself settling in the top three again and he appeared to hit the line solidly last week.
Rick Fern showed a return to form with a 34.67 heat win and he must be respected again, whilst Milk And Cookies is a must for exotic bets.
Top Four: 4 – 7 – 8 – 2
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Rinash
Race 10 – 715M Grade 5 – 10:14PM
Mepunga Tiara restored my faith in her with an all the way win here over 595m last week. Tonight she steps up to the 715m journey and she has given me every indication that the extra distance will suit. I'm expecting her to roll to the early lead and although she is likely to get a little tired late, she should have enough fuel in the tank to get the job done.
Jeff The Tipster is in good hands and he has strong Tasmanian form over this journey, however I thought he was a bit disappointing at Warrnambool last start and at the short odds I believe he is one to take on.
Know Class recorded a top 595m placing here last month and tonight he steps back up to a more favourable journey, he should go around at the $10.00 mark and he is worth a saver bet. Zipping Joe is more than capable, he just needs luck from his poor draw.
Top Four: 2 – 3 – 6 – 1
Suggested Bets: Win bets on Mepunga Tiara and Know Class.
Race 11 – 595M Grade 5 – 10:38PM
Untraceable was a shade unlucky when runner up here last week and tonight from his good draw he gets his chance to atone. He is still quite inexperienced, but from the red draw he should be able to punch through and lead and he is a ridiculously fast animal when on the bunny. I reckon with a clear run he may give the 34 second barrier a shake.
Nockabout Aussie is a super talent but he is also very unreliable. Being a keen railer, the box draw doesn't appear suitable, however he doesn't like to be crowded and on the bend start he should get plenty of time to balance up and hit his stride. I would expect him to start double figures and he is worth a saver bet.
Go Mobo is likely to start as one of the favourites, he is making his middle distance debut and I think there is no chance that he will run out the trip, massive take on. Ema's Princess and Dyna York look to be the other winning hopes.
Top Four: 1 – 8 – 5 – 3
Suggested Bet: Win bets on Untraceable and Nockabout Aussie (have a fair crack at Untraceable).
Race 12 – 515M Grade 4 – 11:02PM
In an open affair, I'm hoping the Karen Leek trained Billy Rocket can get us out on a winning note. He has won three of his four tries over this trip and he showed a return to form recently with a strong 28.37 Bendigo win. From the wide draw he should get every chance to muster speed and settle on the pace. At the $8.00 mark he appears to be value.
Allen Eryk has the class factor but he will need an ounce of luck from the middle pin. Over the longer journeys recently he has been able to find the lead in the early stages, tonight there is a fair bit of speed drawn around him so he will need everything to go his way. I still think he is a danger but he needs a lot to go right.
Bogner Bale is much better than his recent runs suggest, whilst Kid Maximus can ping the lids at times, both of these chasers can feature if they step on terms.
Top Four: 8 – 5 – 4 – 2
Suggested Bets: Win bet on Billy Rocket, rove in quinella with 2,4,5.
Quaddies
4/6/1,4,6/3 ($3 for $1)
1,2,3,4/6/1,4,6/3 ($12 for $1)
First race down and Exacta tipped in order. 3rd selection finishing 4th.
Second Race and again first 2 tipped in order. 3rd selection finishes 4th.
Race 3 and ARG banks our third straight winner with the on top selection!!!!
Then it was all down hill from there
lol – Yes very true – but given someone the results, I doubt there was a tipster int he country that could’ve predicted those correctly.
To true tuff night for punters. Some big odds lastnight and a couple of pretty disappointing runs from 1 of Australia’s best kennels . First leg of the quaddie at Albion park was a $50 pop.
First race down and Exacta tipped in order. 3rd selection finishing 4th.
Second Race and again first 2 tipped in order. 3rd selection finishes 4th.
Race 3 and ARG banks our third straight winner with the on top selection!!!!
Then it was all down hill from there
lol – Yes very true – but given someone the results, I doubt there was a tipster int he country that could’ve predicted those correctly.
To true tuff night for punters. Some big odds lastnight and a couple of pretty disappointing runs from 1 of Australia’s best kennels . First leg of the quaddie at Albion park was a pop.