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Race 1 – 520M Grade 5 – 7:30PM
Very open race to kick start the night but I think we can find some value with Sherlock. He isn’t drawn very well but he has speed to burn and he really impressed me in his handy placing here last week. On that occasion he pinged the lids and led initially but after being headed he still held on quite well. There are a couple of pacy ones drawn in the middle tonight but I think they might carve up the inside division and Sherlock may sneak away with the prize.
Rhino Collision was desperately unlucky here last week and prior to that he hit the line hard when scoring here in a slick 29.89. He lacks early speed but if he can work through the first bend without too much trouble he should figure prominently. Te Akai Kahn and Hector Kahn are the two speed chasers drawn in the middle, both are quite reliable early and if they can cross early they become major contenders.
Top Four: 7 – 6 – 4 – 3
Win bets on Sherlock and Rhino Collision.
Boxed Quinella: 3,4,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Race 2 – 520M Non Graded – 7:50PM
Suits Us is better known for his staying capabilities but tonight he finds himself in a fairly weak 520m affair. Last week he posted a 5.60 to the first marker here, however I think he can go a little quicker than that and this race doesn’t have a lot of runners with early speed. The two runners drawn directly underneath are both poor beginners and that should allow him to find the rails quite easily. You should be able to land around $3.40 or better and that is enormous overs in this field.
Bearly Fair is surprisingly well drawn out wide and he has won here previously in a handy 30.10. With the lack of early speed from other runners, he should be able to get across quite easily and he is a pretty handy chaser when on the bunny. Teddie Boy must also be respected in this event, he does his best racing over this trip and he has been racing in much stronger class of late. He should settle in the first three and he should be in contention throughout.
Top Four: 3 – 7 – 4 – 2
Exacta: 3,7/2,3,4,7 ($6 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 2,3,4,7 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,4,7/2/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,4,7/Field/2 ($18 for 100%)
Race 3 – 720M Non Graded – 8:07PM
Cosmic Rosie was far from disgraced in her staying debut at Richmond last week and I think she will be greatly improved by the run. In her heat she missed the kick and had to slowly work her way through the field. She is normally a fairly reliable beginner and I’m hoping she can anticipate the start a little better. If she can settle in the first three as they head into the first bend she should charge away mid race.
Irinka Hope is clearly the danger after she scored a convincing 41.90 heat win at Richmond. She began a lot better than normal in her heat and that is why I’m being a bit more cautious with her tonight. She isn’t known for her great box manners and I can see her finding bother in the early stages tonight. Billy Style must be included in your exotic bets, he doesn’t win often but he will be jumping out of the ground late and he may be able to snag third spot.
Top Four: 8 – 3 – 2 – 4
Trifecta: 3,8/3,8/Field ($12 for 100%)
Trifecta: 8/2,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 8/2,3,4 ($3 for 100%)
First Four: 3,8/3,4,8/2/Field ($20 for 100%)
First Four: 3,8/3,4,8/Field/2 ($20 for 100%)
Race 4 – 520M Non Graded – 8:30PM
It’s always hard to tip a greyhound like Gradence on top but tonight he looks perfectly placed and he should break through. Like always, I’m expecting him to drop out in the early stages but expected leader Soaring Eagle will get tired late, therefore I’m anticipating there to be a little bit of shuffling up front and that should play into the hands of Gradence. Two starts ago he was enormous behind Zipping Willow and he really only needs an ounce of luck to win.
Watto Lotto has a similar racing style to Gradence but he is more likely to hug the fence. Drawn in the check he should be able to find the rails early and if he can get a few gaps in running he should make the most of it. El Caballo can be hard to follow at times but he should be suited by the lack of early speed in this event. If he can reproduce the effort which saw him place here in May, he should be in the finish.
Top Four: 5 – 2 – 4 – 3
Trifecta: 5/2,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,3,4/5/Field ($18 for 100%)
Quinella: 5 to rove with 2,3,4 ($3 for 100%)
Race 5 – 520M Grade 4 – 8:50PM
Amazon Lizard looks to be the likely leader and I think he may be able to steal the prize at nice odds. Three starts ago he pinged the lids and looked brilliant when scoring in a slick 29.79. His last 50m is always questionable but at the double figure odds I reckon he will give us an almighty sight.
Bessy Boo is likely to start favourite after capturing the Peter Mosman classic here last week. After a clean getaway she found herself in third spot as they headed for the back straight and from there on she was always going to take a power of beating. I don’t think she will settle as close to the speed tonight but she is still good enough to feature. Creepy Coupe must also be respected after he won here last week in 29.71 and on that occasion he beat the exciting prospect Lochinvar Impact.
Top Four: 5 – 3 – 6 – 1
Win bets on Amazon Lizard and Creepy Coupe
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,5,6 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,5,6/1,3,5,6/Field ($54 for 100%)
Race 6 – 520M Free For All – 9:12PM
Zipping Willow is flying at present and she is likely to start at short odds, however I think Double Twist can turn the tables on her from last week. After a slow start she worked her way through the field and she really chewed into Zipping Willow’s lead in the concluding stages. From the pink tonight she should be able to settle much closer to Zipping Willow and then run over the top in the final stages.
Cawbourne Whip must also be respected based on her recent efforts. After scoring two brilliant 600m wins at Canberra, she returned to town and posted a breathtaking 29.38 win. In recent times she has been pinging the lids and I’m not sure how long she will keep doing it for. Zipping Willow as mentioned earlier has been flying and she is expected to lead for a long way. The final 50m has really concerned me in her past two wins as she has really folded up, however she has only had three runs from a spell and she is likely to keep on improving.
Top Four: 8 – 4 – 3 – 7
Win bet on Double Twist
Trifecta: 3,4,8/3,4,8/1,3,4,7,8 ($18 for 100%)
Race 7 – 720M Grade 5 – 9:57PM
Gotta Problem is a hard dog to tip with any confidence but he appears to have found the perfect race. Last week he hit the line strongly over this trip and was only beaten by three and a half lengths behind the exciting Dusty Moonshine. The key to tonight’s event is the small field and with less traffic to weave through, he should be able to make his presence felt.
Queen Marina set the pace in the same race as Gotta Problem last week and although she got a little tired, she was far from disgraced. I would expect her to lead again tonight but my only concern is that the non chasing Hayden Hair is likely to be pestering her the whole trip and there enhances the chances of Gotta Problem. My Asuncion should also be respected in this event, she has a poor record here but the smaller field will suit and she is rarely far away in these type of races.
Top Four: 2 – 1 – 7 – 5
Win bet on Gotta Problem and have a crack at the place (looks a lock to finish top two)
Quinella: 2 to rove with 1 & 7.
Race 8 – 520M Grade 5 Final – 10:17PM
In what is a very strong final, I’ve settled on the highly talented Sir Lancelot. Although beaten in his heat, he recorded a very slick 5.40 to the first marker and a repeat of that should be enough to hold out the outside division. Last week he was unable to lead and therefore probably looked a little disappointing, however in the past he has shown he is capable of reeling off sizzling sectionals when on the bunny.
I’m Pedro looms as the likely danger after he has turned in two brilliant performances here in recent weeks. After narrowly going down to Stylish Jenmar in quick time, he followed that up the following week with a sizzling 29.75 win here and provided he gets an ounce of luck early he will be in the finish. Cawbourne Cobra could be the smokey in the event, he has tended to struggle here previously, however last week he overcame a slow start and was far from disgraced when placed behind I’m Pedro. He could be a nice place bet at the odds.
Top Four: 4 – 7 – 5 – 1
Each way on Sir Lancelot
Boxed Quinella: 4,5,7 ($3 for 100%)
Race 9 – 520M Grade 5 – 10:37PM
The highly exciting Lochinvar Impact was a tad stiff here last week and if he can step away like he did last time he should be off and gone with the prize through the first turn. Tonight he has the luxury of two slow beginners drawn outside him and a keen railer drawn directly underneath so he should be afforded all the favours at box rise. There are a couple of handy ones in this event so we might get $2.60 or better.
Breaker Kahn has been racing with limited luck in recent times and if he can show his normal turn of foot he should be able to cross quite easily and match motors with the favourite in the early stages. I think Lochinvar Impact may be a little too brilliant for him but he will definitely give him a run for his money. Paddles Anderson and Oh So Striking are the other obvious winning hopes but both are likely to get a long way back in the early stages. If either of them happen to step and are close to the lead off the back straight, they will give the favourite a fright.
Top Four: 6 – 5 – 8 – 7
Have a crack at Lochinvar Impact if you can snag $2.60 or better.
Trifecta: 5,6/5,6,7,8/2,5,6,7,8 ($18 for 100%)
Race 10 – 520M Grade 5 – 10:57PM
Avondale Zena has found the class rise a little too much in recent weeks but tonight she is taking on a slightly weaker affair and she should be able to lead throughout. Three starts ago she flew through the first marker here in a blistering 5.36 and she still had enough in the tank to stop the clock at 29.86. If she can reproduce that performance she will take a power of beating,
Lacey Lois was very unlucky here last week and she has been racing in very consistent style. She should be able to follow Avondale Zena across in the early stages and she should box on well for the quinella spot. Ritza Raider and Queen Esther both appear fairly well drawn on the inside and if the top two picks make any mistakes early the one and the two should capitalise.
Top Four: 6 – 7 – 2 – 1
Win bets on Avondale Zena and Lacey Lois (more on Avondale Zena)
Trifecta: 1,2,6,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,4,6,7 ($36 for 100%)
Leg 1: 1,3,5,6,8
Leg 2: 3,4,8
Leg 3: 1,2,7
Leg 4: 4,7
$90 for 100%
Best Bet: Race 3 Number 8 Cosmic Rosie
Best Roughie: Race 2 Number 7 Bearly Fair