Nationals firm as favourites to take out Orange by-election

NATIONALS candidate Scott Barrett has firmed into $1.20 with online bookmaker Sportsbet to win the seat of Orange in Saturday’s by-election.

As of Tuesday, 75 per cent of money wagered on the Orange result had been placed on Barrett to win, despite continued criticism for the Nationals following on from a series of controversial issues.

Barrett’s price has subsequently been trimmed from $1.45.

Early money on the by-election had been with Phil Donato from the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, however that money has dried up over the past few weeks, which has seen his price drift from $4 out to $11.

Orange isn’t the only by-election set to be held this weekend, with Wollongong and Canterbury residents also heading to the polling booths. Labor is expected to win both seats, represented by Paul Scully ($1.20) and Sophie Costis ($1.01) respectively.

“While all the attention is on the US election this week, NSW voters across three electorates will head to the polls this Saturday and it looks as though they will stick with the status quo,” said Sportsbet’s Ben Bulmer.

“The Nationals are near certainties to retain Orange according to punters, while Labor is tipped to maintain its vice-like grip on Wollongong and Canterbury.”

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The Orange by-election was prompted by the resignation of Nationals MP Andrew Glee, who left his seat in order to contest the federal seat of Calare, which he won.

The Nationals have held the seat since 1947 and hold it by a 21.7 per cent margin, however internal polling conducted late last month suggested the Nationals could face a swing against them of up to 18 per cent.

This is believed to have been impacted by Premier Mike Baird’s proposed merger between the Orange, Blayney and Cabonne Shire Councils.

Also touted to be a negative for the Nationals is Baird’s greyhound ban, despite the fact it was overturned in early October.

Talkback giants Alan Jones and Ray Hadley, both of whom are stark opponents of both the council mergers and the greyhound racing ban, will head to Orange this week in an attempt to apply some heat to the Nationals in the days leading up to the by-election.

Orange by-election betting market

Scott Barrett (The Nationals) – $1.20
Bernard Fitzsimon (Labor) – $4.50 with Sportsbet
Phil Donato (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers) – $11
Scott Munro (Independent) – $21
Janelle Bicknell (The Greens) – $67

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spyman
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spyman

after the Trump fiasco, who would believe polls?

was told Nats are in strife with LAB/SHOOTERS joining together to suck them dry.

and if they think the last desperate attempt to swing votes back was a good move simply by offering monies for the Orange hospital carpark,they are wrong.

mind you the locals will take it(if they get it) and still vote the jerks out. come on Saturday.

John Tracey
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John Tracey

Shooters now firmed into . Great Price if you can still get it.

spyman
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spyman

John Tracey  well the day has arrived.will be one of the most interesting elections ever where greys racing is concerned. but it is more than just our industry,there are so many off-shoots that have dragged regional living into the gutter. I predict a defeat of heavy proportions for the Nats,and it will follow in the footsteps of shock events that have been occurring throughout the world. BREXIT & TRUMP are good examples of the older peoples thoughts coming out above the youths thoughts of today.they,the elders of all countries,have had a gutful of improper actions of social caste,organised and carried… Read more »

spyman
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spyman

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McCDWYgVyps

for u John,and others.

The last post………Bye,bye Troy Grant.

next please….MIKE, where are you?

in memoryof TROY GRANT

spyman
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spyman

GRANT refuses to stand down! we will see about that. the sheer arrogance of the man. no wonder he moved outta town.his a marked dude.a CLINTON clone. over confidence has brought GRANT/BAIRD/NATIONALS to their knees. they just do not get it. so poorly advised about the power of the people as a whole. well, lesson 1001 is coming. be interesting now to see BAIRD’s reaction. one feels we just may see the real cannibal in him. will eat his own.the BACK FLIP will now be very closely monitored,and FOLEY needs to move in on BAIRD real quick and do not… Read more »

John Tracey
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John Tracey

spyman,  I need to declare that I play a part in the Greyhound Fighting Fund Deed. Please find the Anthony Green’s Blog with the bi election results. Preferences  have not been distributed at Orange yet but a few things are obvious, As I reported earlier the leader of the nationals polling earlier in the Week showed a 15% swing away from the Nationals which would have seen them within the margin if error to hold the seat. The assessment did not appear to take in the benefit of polling stations being manned and it in my view over estimated the… Read more »

John Tracey
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John Tracey
BobWhitelaw
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BobWhitelaw

spyman Well i, read with interest both you and Johns comments , what i find  hard to except  that people are making comments  re polling booths and raping certain groups who i believe were missing in action on the Booths in Orange, Forbes , Parks, and other small towns.It  was the lack of so called leaders at these booths from  Groups Like the Alliance , GBOTA , are examples of what i’am saying . One Director Norm Curby can hold his head  up high some others thought it was a weekend away .Now the Group that’s been forgotten and covered… Read more »

BobWhitelaw
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BobWhitelaw

spyman All those medals he had made will be collector items worth NOTHING  what arrogant pig, thank you to the Voters from Orange

spyman
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spyman

BobWhitelaw spyman  congrats BOB and everyone who helped and attended.as a MEXICAN, it was noted interstaters also participated in helping,and once again,its the people power in great numbers and even greater support,that guided this turnover. don’t know who/what GAG is BOB,but the effort is noted I am sure. well there goes GRANT the magnificent. maybe you are a big ,tough fella BOB and not the usual small old frail gent like a LENNY that made him swallow his mucus and the words just would not come out. politicians, for the love of them. what really is their roll?i have said a… Read more »

spyman
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spyman

John Tracey  http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/nsw-crown-land-law-changes-supported-by-aboriginal-land-council/8013806 while I have your attention John,i am very surprised not much chatter about this new BAIRD wonder idea. I am referring mainly to WENTY PARK,but it appears now with this new ruling,the aboriginal land rights agreements have been washed away in a sense. would this not be a new attack on another group of people to satisfy his march towards creating a new waterfront,unlike any we will ever see apart from EUROPE/USA? I see that as a slap in the face of the indisgenous peoples who should have the majority say in Crown Land developments,and why has… Read more »

BobWhitelaw
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BobWhitelaw

The Greyhound Action Group was formed in 2012 to fight for a change to the unfair Inter-Code Agreement.  and are still active politically Its was GAG who first approached the Shooters Fishers and Farmers Party to take up the Industries fight for a better deal and  not the GBOTA or the Alliance,  remember the NO SHOW at Christmas   2012  and we refused to race our dogs, well 96% of  us did it was GAG not the Alliance, and as well The GBOTA continued to race, whats that tell you.  It was GAG who first suggested the Rally  not  … Read more »

John Tracey
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John Tracey

spyman BobWhitelaw Hi Spyman, the final  result is going to be close. See the Anthony Green Blog.e predicts 50.6 shooters to 49.4 Nationals ( only a handful of votes). Still either way people haqve made history with the result.

You can follow the result updates on the above prompt (it keeps updating).

spyman
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spyman

after reading a snippet in the DAILY TELEGRAPH,one really has to question the mental state of TROY GRANT. recall him organising BADGES in his honorur? well now,he wants BAGGY GREEN CAPS handed out to all his NATIONALS PARTY MEMBERS if they make the parliamentary TEAM!!!!!!!!! is this guy that vane he misses the point that arrogance got hima nd BAIRD in this current situation? someone needs to remind him its not a SHANE WARNE……………all about me….its about politics and perceptions and doing what you are voted in for. work for the people,not reward your own self because no award exists… Read more »

spyman
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spyman

http://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/orange-by-election-2016/results/

come on,get us over the line….please. I hate humble pie and crow.

John Tracey
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John Tracey

spyman Just have to wait. The worst case prediction at the moment still has the shooter’s finishing about 200 votes ahead of the Nationals.  The system which allows preferences to exhaust always favours the first past the post. Also in this election the Donkey Vote 1 to 8 favours the Greens giving their preferences to the Nationals. I don’t know what their how to vote card was, they often have a range of how to vote cards to try and catch everybody but in this election their anti-country choice would probably been the Nationals.(they would hardly back a competing rising… Read more »

spyman
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spyman

John Tracey spyman  lol…patience? whats that John?isnt that someone sick in hospital?

like TROY GRANT taken to Orange Base and getting emotional that no one likes him anymore?

the witch is dead John…part 1 out of the way,next please.(Grant quits with integrity intact he says….lol)

great fight that is for sure John,but it is a year of UNDERDOGS getting up it seems.