The Meadows Greyhounds Tips & Betting Preview July 19th 2014

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Race 1 – 525M Grade 5 – 7:18PM

Very even affair to kick off the meeting but i think the promising Capullo Bale can make amends for his luckless run here last week. After beginning fairly he showed a good turn of foot before then losing his way through the first bend. I think with the benefit of seeing the track last week he should be able to find plenty. His three provincial wins in June where brilliant and i have a fairly big opinion of this one.

Roy Galo is a very hard dog to follow but he is ideally drawn out wide and he should appreciate the enormous drop in class. He has contested FFA events for quite some time and although it was a while back, he did record his sizzling 29.82 PB here from this draw. Frank Furter must also be considered in this event, he is armed with smart early speed and he should go with Capullo Bale for most of the trip, his last 50m is always a worry but he has got a little stronger in recent times.

Top Four: 6 – 8 – 5 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Capullo Bale

Trifecta: 5,6,8/5,6,8/1,3,5,6,7,8 ($24 for 100%)

Boxed Quinella: 5,6,8 ($3 for 100%)

 

Race 2 – 600M Grade 5 Final – 7:40PM

Another open race but i think the box draw is going to play a major role in the result. Reen’s Fabian has come up with the gun draw and he looked very impressive in his strong 34.90 heat win. He was quite slow to begin last week but from the better draw he should be able to find a couple of lengths to the first marker and on the bunny he should be able to get down to the 34.40 mark.

Ima Fairytale is highly talented and she too overcame some difficulties in her strong 35.16 heat win, however the box draw hasn’t been too kind to her. She is likely to settle back in the field early but with some luck in running she won’t be far away at the finish. Morningside is the smokey in the event, she can make a lot of mistakes in her races and she tends to lose concentration at times but if she remains switched on she will run a big race at odds.

Top Four: 1 – 4 – 5 – 2

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Reen’s Fabian (very keen on this one)

Trifecta: 1,4/1,4/Field ($12 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/2,4,5/Field ($12 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/2,4,5/2,4,5 ($6 for 100%)

 

Race 3 – 725M Distance Championship Heat One – 7:57PM

The perfectly drawn Mepunga Tiara has been racing in good company of late and she has been far from disgraced. She is probably better suited to a middle distance but she is still more than capable over this journey. Being a very reliable beginner, i would expect her to be able to carve across to the early lead and she should prove too hard to reel in.

Know Class has been racing against the likes of Xylia Allen in recent times and he should appreciate the drop in class. He can be a little slow to begin at times but if he can get through the first bend untouched he won’t be far away at the business end. Zipping Maggie is showing promise over the staying journey and this is clearly her toughest test, im still not convinced that she is a genuine stayer but this event isn’t overly strong and she can play a major role.

Top Four: 8 – 4 – 6 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Mepunga Tiara

Trifecta: 8/4/Field ($5 for 100%)

Trifecta: 8/3,4,6/Field ($15 for 100%)

 

Race 4 – 725M Distance Championship Heat Two – 8:20PM

Star stayer Dyna Willow is making her long awaited return to racing and if she is anywhere near peak fitness she should make light work of her opposition. Prior to going for a spell she had recorded two breathtaking 720m Wentworth Park wins and on both occasions she came from off the speed and powered to the line. Being first up from a spell she should show a little more early dash and therefore she will find herself in a much more prominent position early.

Luna Jinx is a huge talent but she can make a lot of mistakes in her races. Back in may she scored a scorching 41.68 Sandown Park win and she looked as though she was going to take the staying world by storm, however she has shown that she doesn’t like to be crowded in her races and she tends to ease when she feels pressure on her outside. If she can get into some open space she will put some pressure on the favourite. Zipping Joe rounds out the winning hopes, he has been racing in rare form of late and he should be suited by the empty box on his outside.

Top Four: 7 – 3 – 4 – 6

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Dyna Willow if you can find even money or better

Trifecta: 7/3,4,6/2,3,4,6 ($9 for 100%)

Trifecta: 3,7/3,7/Field ($10 for 100%)

 

Race 5 – 525M Maturity Classic Semi Final One – 8:40PM

He was a little disappointing here last week but i think super star sprinter Hooksy can make amends tonight. Drawn perfectly in the pink he should get plenty of room early to show his explosive turn of foot and he should be off and gone as they head through the first turn. This bloke is an absolute star and i can’t wait to see what the clock shows if he goes around untouched.

My Bro Fabio was enormous here last week when scoring in 29.79 and he is clearly a danger again, however in his heat he was able to settle very close to the speed and i don’t think he will be afforded those favours tonight. There is a fair bit of speed in this race and im guessing he will settle in the last three, he is still good enough to score but i think the quinella spot looks best. Mepunga Hayley is another tremendous talent and if she can find her best box manners she may give Hooksy a run for his money.

Top Four: 8 – 7 – 5 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Hooksy (if you get evens or better)

Trifecta: 8/3,5,7/3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 8/3,5,7/Field ($18 for 100%0

Trifecta: 8/7/Field ($6 for 100%)

 

Race 6 – 525M Maturity Classic Semi Final Two – 8:58PM

This is easily the most open of the four semis but i think i have found the winner with the Darren McDonald trained Where’s The Surf. He has scored a hat trick of wins and he looked ultra impressive when scoring here last week in 30.05. He was fair to begin in his heat but he showed a great turn of foot and he assumed control soon after the start. His first section of 5.13 would see him settle in the first three early and he will prove very hard to hold out.

Shoulders looms as the obvious danger based on his two sub 30 second wins here in June, last week he missed the kick a little and wasn’t really a factor, tonight im anticipating that he will step a little better and he should make his presence felt. Humphrey Bale is the other genuine winning hope, whilst Dyna Alchemist can cause an upset with some luck early. I’m a big fan of Dyna Alchemist but i would have preferred him to have drawn much closer to the rail.

Top Four: 2 – 3 – 1 – 6

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Where’s The Surf

Trifecta: 1,2,3/1,2,3/1,2,3,6,7,8 ($24 for 100%)

Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3 ($3 for 100%)

Exacta: 2,3/1,2,3,6 ($6 for 100%)

 

Race 7 – 525M Maturity Classic Semi Final Three – 9:20PM

I think we have found the best value of the night in this event with the perfectly drawn Summer Wages. Last week he showed tremendous early speed before tiring in the concluding stages. If he can step cleanly he should be able to hold the early lead again and i think he will be much better for the run. At present you can find $14 fixed with some betting agencies and that is a great each way investment.

Eliza Blanche is going to start quite short but i think she is the lay of the night, her box manners aren’t great and she is desperate for the fence. There is quite a bit of early speed drawn underneath her and I’m anticipating that she will be posted wide for most of the trip. Dyna Ostrander is a promising up and coming chaser and if he can reproduce his 30.05 effort from last week he should be in the mix, he can miss the kick at times but he does have an explosive turn of foot. Grand Legacy could be another value bet, he will be big odds but he was far from disgraced when placed here last week.

Top Four: 1 – 6 – 5 – 7

Suggested Bets:

Win bets on Summer Wages and Grand Legacy

Boxed Quinella: 1,5,6,7 ($6 for 100%)

Exacta: 1,5,6/1,5,6,7 ($9 for 100%)

 

Race 8 – 525M Maturity Classic Semi Final Four – 9:42PM

The final semi appears to be another wide open affair but the well drawn Sisco Rage looks poised to make a big impact. In recent times he has been bombing the start and he has then had to work overtime during the race to get into a competitive position. From the red he should be able to anticipate the start a lot better and he will find himself in a more prominent position early. Some of his performances have been massive of late and he is great value at the $5.50 mark.

All Strung Out is a star stayer in the making but at present he is flying over the sprint trip. He didn’t have a lot in his heat last week but he still hit the line hard for a strong placing and prior to that he did post a powerful 30.11 win here. His chances hinge on whether or not he gets a clear crack through the first turn but with an ounce of luck he will be in the mix. Lamia Bale could be the smokey in the event, she led for a long way last week and she appears to be improving with every run.

Top Four: 1 – 3 – 7 – 5

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Sisco Rage

Boxed Quinella: 1,3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)

Exacta: 1,3/1,3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)

 

Race 9 – 725M Distance Championship Heat Three – 10:02PM

The great Xylia Allen gets to strut her stuff again tonight and she should make it eight wins in a row. She is yet to win over this trip but her 700m form of late has been spectacular and realistically bad luck is her only danger. It’s worth noting that if she can win next week’s final she will be the greatest ever prize money earner in the history of greyhound racing.

Zipping Rory looms as the main danger, in recent weeks he has scored two brilliant metro wins and he continues to get better with every run. I don’t think he can go with the champ but he should have no trouble filling the quinella spot. Hala Belle rounds out the place chances, she has been placed in two of three here and she has been racing in this type of class for quite a while now. She is drawn to settle near the speed and she should plug on for third.

Top Four: 2 – 7 – 8 – 6

Suggested Bets:

Trifecta: 2/6,7,8/6,7,8 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/7/6,8 ($2 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/7,8/7,8 ($2 for 100%)

 

Race 10 – 525M Free For All – 10:22PM

Dream It has been racing over the middle distances of late but he should be suited by the drop back to 525m. Prior to rising in distance he had posted two brilliant wins here with the latest being in a slick 29.91. From the red draw he should be able to punch through and lead at the first bend and he should prove too strong in the run to the line.

Hailstorm Billy is a super consistent chaser and he tends to race very well here. Three starts ago he hit the line strongly when placed behind the then in form Gimme Fuel and this race looks to have similar depth. Prue Bale is the interesting runner, she has had three weeks off and the freshen up could be just what she needed, when she is on song she is brilliant and she can show explosive early speed in her races.

Top Four: 1 – 4 – 7 – 6

Suggested Bets:

Trifecta: 1,6,7/4/Field ($18 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,6,7/Field/4 ($18 for 100%)

Exacta: 1,7/1,4,6,7 ($6 for 100%)

Boxed Quinella: 1,4,7 ($3 for 100%)

 

Race 11 – 600M Mixed 4/5 – 10:42PM

Go Mobo is an ultra consistent chaser and he should be able to lead from go to whoa tonight. He has been placed in seven of his past eight which includes three impressive victories. Tonights event is a lot weaker than what he has been facing and if he can step on terms he should get the cash.

Ever Alert is a promising stayer in the making and he scored two impressive middle distance wins in June. He is a wide runner so the pink draw suits but his lack of early speed means that he may get posted wide in the early stages. If he gets through the first bend without a lot of interference, he should make his presence felt. Hougenie is a smart QLD chaser and he didn’t have a lot of luck in his Meadows debut, he should be much better for the run and he has the ability to cause a boil over.

Top Four: 5 – 8 – 4 – 6

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Go Mobo

Trifecta: 5,8/5,8/Field ($12 for 100%)

Boxed Quinella: 4,5,8 ($3 for 100%)

 

Race 12 – 525M Mixed 4/5 – 11:00PM

Good race to finish the night and i think the in form Dyna Kayla should send us home on a winning note. She has won her past two starts in impressive fashion and she has won three of five over this track and trip. She should get a nice sit on probable leader Fort Allen and she will prove too strong in the run home.

Fort Allen has the good draw and he should be able to hold the lead at the first bend. He has been racing in consistent fashion and he has been placed in 16 of his 24 tries here, i dont think he is strong enough to hold on but he should be able to hold on to a minor spot. Warrior King recently won the Group Two Bendigo Cup and he is always a chance, the draw is a big concern tonight but if he gets away on terms he will surely make his presence felt. Heidi Go Seek could be the blowout chance and she must be included in your exotic bets.

Top Four: 2 – 1 – 7 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Dyna Kayla

Boxed quinella: 1,2,7 ($3 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,2/1,2/Field ($12 for 100%)

 

Quaddie:

Leg 1: 8
Leg 2: 1,2,3,6
Leg 3: 1,5,6,7
Leg 4: 1,3

$32 for 100%

 

Best Bet:

Race 2: Reen’s Fabian

Race 5: Hooksy

Best Roughie:

Race 2: Morningside

Past Discussion

  1. Tab sportsbet had $14 up earlier in week. just had a look and its still there…..There fixed odds place is disgraceful!!!…$14 win and only $2.25 the place

  2. Tab sportsbet had up earlier in week. just had a look and its still there…..There fixed odds place is disgraceful!!!… win and only .25 the place