2015 Listed Newcastle Cup full betting preview and top odds

THE 2015 edition of the Listed Newcastle Cup to be run at The Gardens on Friday afternoon and sees a strong field assembled for a chance at the $15,000 winner’s purse.

Local chaser Ada Mary heads the market at $2.50 with Bet365 after her determined win in last week’s Group 3 Summer Cup at Wentworth Park. With the super consistent record of 16 wins and 10 placings from 47 starts, the daughter of High Earner and Silver Shiraz looks the testing material in this race.

Next in the market is the Neville Brown-trained Serena Nimbus ($3.50) which also comes through the Group 3 Summer Cup series where she finished two lengths behind Ada Mary back in third spot.

The daughter of Kinloch Brae and Where’s Tobin showed early speed in her heat to possie up on the back of Ada Mary and did a little bit too well in the run to the line.

After coming up with the two box in the Newcastle Cup and having a slow beginner on her inside there is every chance history could repeat on Friday afternoon.

The top two in the market obviously look to be the main winning chances, however, aside from that pair, this is an evenly matched race with the rest headed by the consistent Zipping Echo ($7.50) and up and coming Sky Brook ($5).

The Newcastle Cup is race six on the program and is set to jump at 4.57pm AEDT.

Box One – Miss Fiction
Brindle Bitch – 30.4kg – October 2011
Mogambo x Time Honoured
Prize money: $43,905
Trainer: Ivan Hanna
Career: 97: 6-14-25
From box: 11 starts: 2 wins, 3 placings
T/D: 5: 0-1-2
T/D Best: 42.63
Career Highlights: Finalist 2015 Stayers Cup at Grafton

“Slow beginner which looks to be a little out of her depth in a race like this but has run plenty of placings and the box should help. Could sneak into a place.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $51 with Bet365

Box Two – Serena Nimbus
Red Brindle Bitch – 25.3kg – March 2013
Kinloch Brae x Where’s Tobin
Prize money: $28,391
Trainer: Neville Brown
Career: 30: 9-4-8
From box: 2 starts: 1 win, 1 placing
T/D: 0: 0-0-0
T/D Best: N/A
Career Highlights: 3RD 2015 Group 2 Summer Cup

“Two starts back came out running to settle on the back of Ada Mary and proved too strong in the run to the line in a great finish. Started from box one in the Summer Cup final but got shuffled back to midfield, but finished on well to run a creditable 3rd. If she can find the leaders back she will take plenty of holding out. With a slow beginner on her inside she gets every chance to possie up in a winning position.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $3.50 with Bet365

Box Three – It’s A Bird
Fawn Bitch – 30.1kg – June 2013
Hondo Black x It’s A Blur
Prize money: $18,139
Trainer: Mark Azzopardi
Career: 23: 9-4-4
From box: 4 starts: 3 wins, 0 placings
T/D: 0: 0-0-0
T/D Best: N/A
Career Highlights: FINALIST 2015 Group 2 Summer Cup

“Had a couple of recent goes over the “longs” and in the Summer Cup she really put it to Ada Mary up the back in the final before running out of gas to be beaten 7.5 lengths. If she finds a softer run from the draw could hang on for a placing.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $6 with Bet365

Box Four – Sky Book
Black Bitch – 28.2kg – July 2013
Magic Sprite x Jayla Rogue
Prize money: $19,593
Trainer: Kristy Sultana
Career: 16: 6-4-1
From box: 2 starts: 1 win, 1 placing
T/D: 0: 0-0-0
T/D Best: N/A
Career Highlights: WON Wentworth Park 42.33

“Looks a handy stayer on the way up. Failed to get clear running in a couple of Wentworth Park runs before coming up against an easier field and putting them away nicely last Wednesday. Looks for the fence and if she can find it could run a race, however there is pace either side of her which makes the draw even more awkward.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $5 with Bet365

Box Five – Ada Mary
Brindle Bitch – 27.7kg – June 2012
High Earner x Silver Shiraz
Prize money: $125,139
Trainer: Sharon Grey
Career: 47: 16-6-4
From box: 6 starts: 1 win, 2 placings
T/D: 1: 0-1-0
T/D Best: 42.55
Career Highlights: WON 2014 Group 3 Sydney Cup, 2015 Group 2 Summer Cup

“Bounced to the front and lead all the way in the Group 3 Summer Cup last week where she fought off challengers from all directions to pull off a gutsy victory. Consistently begins well and won the Sydney Cup in October. She is the proven performer at this level.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $2.50 with Bet365

Box Six – Phantom Reign
Black Bitch – 25.4kg – January 2013
Velocette x Reign Of Terror
Prize money: $28,311
Trainer: Dean Swain
Career: 47: 9-8-5
From box: 7 starts: 0 wins, 3 placings
T/D: 0: 0-0-0
T/D Best: 47: 9-8-5
Career Highlights: FINALIST 2015 Winter Chase

“Enigmatic Bitch who really struck form winning three in a row during September before mixing her form. She returned from a Melbourne sojourn and put her best paws forward two runs ago to win in town leaving a couple of the fancied runners in this behind her. However, hard to have given the tough draw.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $21 with Bet365

Box Seven – Calla Boom
Black Bitch – 24.9kg – February 2013
Take The Kitty x Our Layla
Prize money: $15,334
Trainer: Brad Canty
Career: 42: 7-10-6
From box: 7 starts: 0 wins, 2 placings
T/D: 0: 0-0-0
T/D Best: N/A
Career Highlights: WON The Gardens 34.75

“Consistent performer but yet to win over the “700”. I don’t think she can win but she might get a cart across to sit behind the leaders and could be one for First 4’s.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $21 with Bet365

Box Eight – Zipping Echo
Red Fawn Bitch – 27.1kg – February 2013
Mandagery Man x Pink Bandanna
Prize money: $31,732
Trainer: Leanne Jordan
Career: 30: 9-6-3
From box: 1 start: 0 wins, 1 placing
T/D: 0: 0-0-0
T/D Best: N/A
Career Highlights: 2ND 2015 Group 2 Summer Cup

“Another consistent performer that ran second to Ada Mary in the Summer Cup final. Safe beginner who will be looking for that all important cart across, has a decent record off far outside boxes and looks a place chance. The big concern is where she finds herself going around the first turn.”

Odds to win the Newcastle Cup: $7.50 with Bet365

Top Four: 5-2-3-4

Suggested Bets:

Quinella: 5&2

Exacta: 5/2

Trifecta 5,2/5,2,3/5,2,3,4,8

Win Bet: Can’t go past Ada Mary

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