2015 NSW Sprint and Distance Championships free tips & best odds

THE final state qualifiers for the Group 1 National Sprint and Distance Championships will be held on Saturday night, with two terrific NSW deciders being run and won at Wentworth Park.

The NSW Distance Championship will be the first to jump, with Anthony Azzoardi’s Magic Earner the $2.20 favourite with William Hill from box two. The exceptionally bred daughter of High Earner and Magic Capers is in terrific form at present having won three of her last four starts including a dazzling 42.15 heat performance last Saturday.

The biggest threat in the 720 metre feature is the immensely talented Lithgow Panther, a $4.20 shot with William Hill. The black dog has been mixing his form in recent starts but is a machine on his night, putting him right in contention for the title.

Two other chasers are under double figure odds, with Evidence and Lord Golec currently $4.80 and $5.50 respectively. Evidence, a son of Brett Lee and Cristalle, has had one start for one win over the track and trip having run 42.29 in his heat last week, while Lord Golec is yet to miss a top three finish over the journey in five starts.

The sprinters will also have their chance to shine, with leading conditioner Jason Mackay training the odds on favourite, Smart Missile. Currently $1.85 to take out the final, the youngster is drawn perfectly in box one and is coming off a superb 29.43 heat win last week, but it won’t be an easy task.

Other leading chances in the event include Uno Suzie (box two), Ryley Sams (box three), Knight Sprite (box five) and Bessy Boo (box six), all of which are under double figure odds.

Showing the quality of the final, highly talented speedster La Grand Logie (box four) is a $17 shot, despite boasting a commanding 29.73 personal best over the track and trip.

The National Distance and Sprint Championships are races five and seven at Wentworth Park and will jump at 8:47pm and 9:35pm respectively.

Lets check out the form for each runner, with comments and selections from Australian Racing Greyhound‘s expert form analyst, Brad Bugeja.

NSW Distance Championship Final – 720 metres

Box One – Lord Golec
Black Dog – 33.5kg – August 2013
Bekim Bale x Ebby Miss
Prize money: $13,448
Trainer: Michael Eberand
Career: 18: 5-4-6
T/D: 5: 1-2-2
T/D Best: 42.34

“Bred to run two miles and in recent weeks he has really come of age as a stayer. Two starts back he was able to work his way through the field nicely before going on to score a strong 42.38 win here and he followed that effort up with a smart heat placing last week. The box draw doesn’t really suit him tonight but if he can manage to balance up in the top four he should be right there at the end.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $5.50 with William Hill

Box Two – Magic Earner
Black Bitch – 28.0kg – July 2012
High Earner x Magic Capers
Prize money: $56,890
Trainer: Anthony Azzopardi
Career: 43: 12-12-6
T/D: 3: 2-0-1
T/D Best: 42.15

“Not the most genuine of stayers but she has found herself in quite a weak event and with the lack of staying depth at present, she will continue to be a force in these types of events. Last week she assumed control soon after box rise and from there on she was never in doubt, if she can getaway cleanly again tonight she will be in a prominent position throughout and she will take a power of beating.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $2.20 with William Hill

Box Three – Ada Mary
Brindle Bitch – 27.7kg – June 2012
High Earner x Silver Shiraz
Prize money: $35,649
Trainer: Sharon Grey
Career: 35: 12-4-2
T/D: 9: 3-1-1
T/D Best: 42.38

“She is going to be big odds but she is actually my top pick, last week she was solid to begin but she had to work hard mid race and she therefore got a little tired in the run home. Tonight I’m expecting her to role to the early lead and she has proven in the past that she is very hard to get past when she can dictate the terms out in front. She will be double figure odds but she is definitely worth an each way ticket.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $13 with William Hill

Box Four – Lithgow Panther
Black Dog – 33.4kg – November 2012
Mildean Panther x Mrs Trickett
Prize money: $56,275
Trainer: John Chapman
Career: 39: 15-8-6
T/D: 8: 3-3-0
T/D Best: 42.21

“Big talent when he decides to show his best and his mid race speed is brilliant, however he has been missing the kick in recent weeks and his mid race speed hasn’t been a factor because he keeps finding trouble. The poor draw again tonight will make things difficult, however if he can get through as they negotiate the first turn and balance up in the top four, he should make his presence felt. I believe he is a great winning chance, however the $4.20 quote is a bit short for a chaser with his racing pattern.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $4.20 with William Hill

Box Five – Booster Valve
Black Bitch – 25.7kg – December 2011
Hurricane Luke x Cin Cin Shiraz
Prize money: $7,117
Trainer: Jared Della Casa
Career: 30: 2-6-5
T/D: 10: 0-3-3
T/D Best: 42.48

“Soundly beaten in her heat and is yet to win her in ten attempts. Will trail them in the early stages and doesn’t really have any brilliant mid race speed, so she will find the going tough and she is unlikely to make an impact.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $34 with William Hill

Box Six – Evidence
Black Dog – 31.3kg – April 2013
Brett Lee x Cristalle
Prize money: $31,685
Trainer: Mark Bell
Career: 24: 9-3-6
T/D: 1: 1-0-0
T/D Best: 42.29

“Made his staying debut here last week and he was highly impressive when posting a slick 42.29 victory. Clearly if he pings the lids again tonight he is a great chance of winning. My concern is that sometimes when chasers are having their second attempt at the staying journey, they tend to race a little flat and they fold up a lot quicker than they did the week before. Obviously a winning hope but as a punter I would be happy to risk him tonight.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $4.80 with William Hill

Box Seven – Smooth Number
Black Dog – 29.3kg – December 2012
Smooth Fancy x Ironbark Rebel
Prize money: $60,569
Trainer: Allen Hansen
Career: 65: 15-15-10
T/D: 14: 4-5-1
T/D Best: 42.28

“Bit of a one pacer but he is extremely honest and he has always raced well here over this trip. He tends to race best off inside draws and with the early speed drawn underneath tonight he is likely to be posted wide for most of the journey and therefore I can’t see him winning. If he goes around at silly odds he might be worth a bet as there is no denying that he is a good stayer and with a clear passage he can match any chaser in this race.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $10 with William Hill

Box Eight – Raramuri
Dark Brindle Bitch – 24.9kg – August 2012
Trewly Special x Now Quoted
Prize money: $27,974
Trainer: Owen Langley
Career: 41: 7-9-6
T/D: 19: 3-3-4
T/D Best: 42.15

“Handy stayer who has always raced consistently here, however she has not won over this journey for quite some time. She can show early speed in her races at times but she tends to have a flat spot mid race and that is when she finds bother. Likely to be posted wide in the early stages tonight and unlikely to be factor.”

Odds to win the NSW Distance Championship: $19 with William Hill

Top Four: 3 – 4 – 2 – 1

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Ada Mary

Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3,4 ($6 for 100%)

Exacta: 2,3,4/1,2,3,4 ($9 for 100%)

Trifecta: 3,4/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4,7,8 ($24 for 100%)

NSW Sprint Championship – 520 metres

Box One – Smart Missile
Black Dog – 36.3kg – July 2013
Nitro Burst x Oh Cee Ya
Prize money: $18,822
Trainer: Jason Mackay
Career: 12: 7-2-1
T/D: 6: 3-1-1
T/D Best: 29.43

“Exciting talent who finally showed his true ability with a powerful and dazzling 29.43 win here last week. He was good to begin and he showed enough speed to hold out the speedy Ryley Sams in the run to the first turn and from there on he was never going to be beaten. He has the same draw tonight but there is a lot more early speed engaged tonight. He is a genuine winning hope but I think he will be under the odds.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $1.85 with William Hill

Box Two – Uno Suzie
Black Bitch – 29.5kg – March 2013
Cosmic Chief x Uno Witch
Prize money: $46,708
Trainer: Anthony Azzopardi
Career: 46: 16-13-6
T/D: 17: 5-6-3
T/D Best: 29.76

“Ultra consistent and has a great record over this track and trip. She has the ability to lead or come from off the speed in her races and last time out she really powered to the line when narrowly beaten by Knight Sprite. She should be able to clear the red in the early stages tonight, however there is a concern with the amount of speed drawn on her outside. With a clear passage she is a genuine winning hope but she will need a lot of things to go her way in the run.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $6.00 with William Hill

Box Three – Ryley Sams
Black Dog – 30.2kg – February 2013
College Causeway x Navada Sunrise
Prize money: $30,464
Trainer: Bruce King
Career: 17: 8-3-1
T/D: 11: 4-3-0
T/D Best: 29.61

“Has really come of age in recent weeks and with another good beginning he should make his presence felt. Last week he was a quarter of a length off crossing Smart Missile and I think if he got across he would have won. He has broken 5.40 to the first marker in three of his past four here, my only concern is that those efforts were all from wide draws and tonight he has a heap of speed drawn directly on his outside.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $5.50 with William Hill

Box Four – La Grand Logie
Black Dog – 33.3kg – March 2013
El Grand Senor x Oh Em Gee
Prize money: $52,848
Trainer: Jeff Eaton
Career: 34: 11-6-7
T/D: 17: 5-3-3
T/D Best: 29.73

“Very honest speedster and if he can cross in the early stages he will give a great sight. Last week he settled behind Jack Kade in the early stages and he was unable to bridge the gap in the run home. Once again he hasn’t drawn too well tonight and with the abundance of speed in the event he will need to do everything right in the run to the first corner.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $17 with William Hill

Box Five – Knight Sprite
Black Dog – 30.5kg – February 2013
Magic Sprite x Jaydo’s Neglect
Prize money: $43,635
Trainer: Gayle Masterson
Career: 34: 17-8-2
T/D: 18: 6-5-2
T/D Best: 29.72

“Has been spearing the lids in recent weeks and I think he can do that again tonight and if he does he will go very close to scoring. He is my top pick in the event, he has no speed on his outside and he has three keen railers drawn directly underneath, so with a clean getaway he should get a very clean run in the early stages and that should allow him to dash away mid race. He can get down to around the 29.65 mark and that will be enough for him to score.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $5.50 with William Hill

Box Six – Bessy Boo
Black Dog – 30.7kg – March 2012
Bekim Bale x My Black Bess
Prize money: $207,063
Trainer: Christine Proctor
Career: 89: 26-15-20
T/D: 54: 13-9-13
T/D Best: 29.58

“Class act and he probably deserves to win and advance to next week’s final. He will miss the kick and drop out in the early stages but once he finds the fence he will go into another gear and he has great track sense. He is capable of running 29.60 coming from off the speed and with a trouble free run he will be right there at the end.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $7.50 with William Hill

Box Seven – Tap Out Rose
Black Bitch – 26.4kg – January 2013
Cosmic Rumble x Sweet Fenoir
Prize money: $25,819
Trainer: Rodney Metselaar
Career: 27: 8-7-3
T/D: 14: 4-1-3
T/D Best: 29.85

“Surprised many last week when she hit the line well and scored in a smart 29.86. I was amazed that she managed to come from off the speed and win and I was even more amazed when I saw the time. Clearly she has improve a heap and has come a long way in recent weeks, however she is very poorly drawn tonight and she is likely to get strung up in traffic for most of the journey.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $26 with William Hill

Box Eight – Jack Kade
Black Dog – 32.7kg – November 2012
Collision x Neat Irish
Prize money: $56,126
Trainer: Jodie Lord
Career: 60: 21-7-6
T/D: 30: 8-3-5
T/D Best: 30.00

“Capable of pinging the lids and he was quite impressive when scoring here last week in 30.02. If he can ping and cross tonight he is a great chance of winning, however there really is a heap of speed drawn in the middle and I think he will be posted wide for most of the journey. Great effort to qualify but is likely to do it tough in the closing stages.”

Odds to win the NSW Sprint Championship: $23 with William Hill

Top Four: 5 – 6 – 1 – 2

Suggested Bets:

Win bets on Knight Sprite and Bessy Boo

Boxed Quinella: 1,2,5,6 ($6 for 100%)

Exacta: 5,6/1,2,5,6 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,5,6/1,2,5,6/1,2,3,5,6 ($27 for 100%)

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