Greyhound Racing Tips for Wednesday 25th November 2009 with Tips tonight from Ballarat (Victoria), Warrnambool (Victoria), The Gardens (New South Wales), Ipswich (Queensland) and Cannington (West Australia).
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With racing coming at us from Ballarat (Victoria), Warrnambool (Victoria), The Gardens (New South Wales), Ipswich (Queensland) and Cannington (West Australia), lets review our betting advice for those tracks.
Ballarat is one of the fairest one turn tracks in the country and in general punters can bet with confidence over all distances, although inside boxes are slightly favoured and the 8 box races well off the 450m start. The track suits both speedy and strong greyhounds. Ballarat have just started racing from the new 390m boxes, but from the racing we’ve seen they are more likely decided by luck and interference than class and are best avoided as serious greyhound betting opportunities.
Warrnambool was redeveloped in 2008 to remove much of the bias and interference that occurred on the old “egg” shaped track. Unfortunately while interference has been reduced, “transition turns” have turned the track in to a leader biased procession. In almost all races the winner comes from the greyhound in front about 50m from the boxes. Only strong railing greyhounds can make ground from behind and wide runners are decidedly disadvantaged. The red box is favoured over all distances.
The Gardens is one of New South Wales’ newest tracks and now the sole home of the NSW NCA. The track strongly favours early speed dogs but the 413m races should be avoided at all costs as they are decided more by interference than ability.The 515m races are worth betting on but the inside 3 boxes are all favoured and even good dogs will find it hard to cross from wide draws. The 600m trip, being a corner, start can often pose a difficult greyhound betting option and the inside box is a huge advantage. Few races are run over the 715m journey.
Ipswich can be a punters graveyard and as a general rule punters avoid investing in the 431m races unless you are laying them on Betfair, as the corner starts throws up many unlikely winners and lots of interference. If you must bet on these races, box 1 wins almost twice as many races as every other box with the exception of the second best box, box 2. The 520m races are a little more even, but have a decided bias toward the four inside boxes due to the short run to the corner and even class greyhounds find it hard to win from wide boxes. The 630m races are another corner start.
Cannington is one of the better two tracks which does tend to give greyhounds off the speed a chance to run on. Both the 530m, and 642m distances favour the inside boxes and the 1 box has a slight advantage over the 715m distance. The 297m races,starting at the top of the back straight, runs reasonably fairly, although box 1 is an advantage. The four inside boxes are advantaged over the 530m, the three inside boxes over the 642m and the 715m races reasonably evenly.
Ballarat Greyhounds – Race 8 – Box 7 – Gardam Prince
No great odds on offer but Gardam Prince looks perfectly boxed out in box 7, especially after the scratching of the Elite Luke from box 8. Unbeaten here at Ballarat he is on trial for next weeks Ballarat Cup heats and looks the best of good things.
Ballarat Greyhounds – Race 9 – Box 1– Sure Cool
The Kevin Mugavin trained Sure Cool is racing in exemplary form and has now won 5 of her last 7 starts here and at Warrnambool. Drawing box 1 suits ideally for this very speedy beginner and she has so far only started here at Ballarat over this distance once for a 22.03 win. With the track record initially set at 21.90, Sure Cool is definitely one who could give it a nudge.
Warrnambool Greyhounds – Race 5 – Box 1– Tomic
Tomic did the job for us here last week and should have no trouble repeating the dose here again in another 5th grade from the same draw. Ran 25.50 last time and will be sure to be improved after having his first start on the track. Looking for the hattrick and no reason he won’t convert.
Warrnambool Greyhounds – Race 7 – Box 1– Sheylea
Promising Sheylea looks tough to beat in this race despite having failed both times drawn in box 1. Has managed to win 16 of 35 her other races from other draws and started here once for a 21.97 win from box 5 here last Friday. As with Tomic is shooting for 2 grade 5’s in a week and a hattrick while trying to “beat the grader” and should have little trouble hitting the mark.
The Gardens Greyhounds – Race 8 – Box 1– Princess Bling
All ther money here will be for the litter sister to Pulp and Goodesy, Little Sparkle who has had just the 2 starts for a 3rd on debut and a last start win at Bulli in 26.22. Ideally suited at Bulli, she’ll face a stiffer task here and Princess Bling who is boxed in box 1 has the pace to take advantage of the draw and steal the race. A last start winner in 30.05 by 8.25 lengths, the Ron Bell trained runner will go around overs.
Ipswich Greyhounds – Race 9 – Box 8 – Lillyarna
No reason at all to drop off the Lillyarna bandwagon who who has won 3 of her past 4 starts and is unbeaten here over this distance. Only failure recently came at Capalaba and Lillyarna used all her early pace last start to set up a good early lead and record a 4 length win. Has now raced here at Ipswich 7 times for 5 wins and a third and this daughter of Surf Lorian is starting to build a good record.
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Australian Racing Greyhound Dog House (NTBBA – Greyhounds Never To Be Backed Again)
Australian Racing Greyhound Kennel (Greyhounds To Follow)
Monique’s Doll (New South Wales)
Goodesy (New South Wales)
Pulp (New South Wales)
Billy Bobaggings (New South Wales)
Hurricane Luke (New South Wales)
Window Watcher (New South Wales)