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Race 1 – 515M Grade 5 – 7:08PM
Hold On Wincup has been racing in consistent style of late and he led for a long way when placed here last week. In last week’s event he was unlucky due to the fact that See Him First was able to settle so close to the speed. There isn’t a whole lot of depth in this event tonight and if he can begin like he did last week he should be able to lead from go to whoa at nice odds.
Santa’s Special could be the value in the race. She is perfectly drawn out wide and when on song is blessed with loads of ability. She has a tendency to be unreliable but if she goes around at double figure odds then she is worth having a saver bet on. Miss Penguin hit the line hard when scoring here on Sunday in 29.76 and if she can get a clear run in the early stages she should make her presence felt. She is better suited to a rails draw but does appear to be well graded in this event. Allen Kessel rounds out the winning hopes. He has the good draw but I’m not convinced that he has enough early dash to hold them out early.
Top Four: 3 – 7 – 8 – 1
Win bets on Hold On Wincup and Santa’s Special
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 3,7,8/1,3,7,8 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,7,8/1,3,7,8/1,3,4,5,7,8 ($36 for 100%)
Race 2 – 595M Grade 5 – 7:25PM
Dyna Glinda is a promising chaser who hasn’t been experiencing a lot of luck over the 500m journeys of late. In her recent racing she has been slow to begin but powering to the line and that gives me every indication that she should have no trouble with covering the extra distance. Although being slow to begin, her early sectionals haven’t been that bad and that should allow her to settle much closer to the speed in tonight’s event. If you can get around the $6.50 or better that is great value.
Rinash has been in good form over the 515m journey here recently and should have enough early speed to lead tonight’s event. He isn’t overly strong in the final 50m but he should have built up a big enough lead to feature in the finish. Rumero Reason is much better than his recent form reads and he is drawn to get the gun run. He has been racing in much stronger company and is sure to appreciate the drop in class. Aeroplane Cindy is likely to start short odds but I think she is very risky tonight. From the middle pin she is likely to get squeezed out early and will need all the breaks. Hession Boots is the run on dog and he is back to a more suitable journey tonight. He could be a great dog to plonk for third and fourth in your exotics.
Top Four: 4 – 2 – 1 – 7
Win bets on Dyna Glinda and Rumero Reason
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,4,7 ($6 for 100%)
First Four: 1,2,4/1,2,4/7/Field ($30 for 100%)
First Four: 1,2,4/1,2,4/Field/7 ($30 for 100%)
Race 3 – 515M Grade 5 – 7:44PM
Yakamov Bale is armed with sizzling early speed and he gave a great sight when placed here last week. Tonight’s event doesn’t feature a lot of early pace and he should have no trouble crossing in the early stages. His last 50m is always suspect but if he can reproduce last week’s effort that should be enough to see him snag the prize.
Dello Bale has the good draw and he should start a short priced favourite. He has a tremendous record from this draw and over this track and trip, however his box manners can sometimes let him down. Provided he doesn’t get shuffled too far back he should make his presence felt. Dyna Geldof is pretty classy on his day and he is one of the few in this race which possess early speed. I don’t think he can hold out Yakamov Bale but he should settle just off him early and he will make him work overtime for victory. Stylish Shazz has some nuisance value, she is poorly drawn but her lack of speed should be able to help here. If she can miss the kick she should be able to cross to the rail easily and she should be able to save a lot of ground off the back straight.
Top Four: 7 – 1 – 3 – 2
First Four: 1,3,7/1,2,3,7/5/Field ($45 for 100%)
First Four: 1,3,7/1,2,3,7/Field/5 ($45 for 100%)
Win bets on Yakamov Bale and Dyna Geldof
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3,7 ($6 for 100%)
Race 4 – 515M Mixed 4/5 – 8:08PM
The champ Keybow makes his return to the track after three weeks off and from the red he should make light work of this lot. Two starts ago he set the track alight with a scorching 29.57 Wentworth Park win and if the track is in good condition he should give the 29 second barrier a little nudge. You will be asked to take very short odds so it’s best to anchor him up front in your exotic bets.
Lektra Hawk was pretty unlucky here last week and if he can step on terms he should be in the mix for most of the trip. Obviously he can’t match Keybow but he is good enough to fill the quinella spot and he should be good value for the place. Al Moran can show early speed at times and if Keybow steps cleanly he should be able to get a nice trail behind the favourite. His last 30m isn’t overly strong but he should have enough in the tank to run a drum.
Top Four: 1 – 7 – 2 – 4
Trifecta: 1/2,4,7/2,4,7 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/2,4,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/7/Field ($6 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 1 to rove with 2,4,7 ($3 for 100%)
Race 5 – 715M Grade 5 – 8:28PM
Shall She Rock has been crying out for the staying trip and she should be able to atone for her luckless effort at Cranbourne over 699m last week. In her debut staying effort, she bombed the start and found herself a long way back early but what caught my eye was her ability to still hit the line after having her momentum stopped on a number of occasions. If she can get away a little better tonight she should be in the mix a lot earlier and will be able to put on a dominant display.
He Isn’t Really looks the obvious danger. He is making his staying debut and his last start win at The Meadows over 600m gave me every indication that he should have no problem getting the journey. He finds himself in a race with a heap of starters that can’t run out the trip so he should get every chance to feature. Sir Gazza has been placed in his only try over this trip and although his form isn’t flashy he should be able to regain some confidence. Unix Bale is the interesting runner. She had indicated that she was looking for this journey but at The Meadows last Saturday she burnt along in the lead and fell in a hole quickly, if she can rate herself a little better in front she may show some improvement.
Top Four: 8 – 7 – 4 – 2
Win bet on Shall She Rock
Trifecta: 7,8/7,8/Field ($12 for 100%)
Trifecta: 4,7,8/4,7,8/Field ($36 for 100%)
Exacta: 7,8/2,4,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Race 6 – 515M Grade 5 Final – 8:52PM
Very even final and I think the early speed of Quick Succession should help her grab victory. Last week she began cleanly and showed a great turn of foot before hitting the first marker in 5.07, a repeat of that effort would see her lead easily again. The most impressive part of last week’s win was that after burning early she still had enough in the tank to post a fast 29.63. From the middle pin you might be able to get a little more value at Centrebet.
Grubby is racing in devastating form and he has three of five starts from this draw. His first section was a length off the fastest and that should allow him to settle close to the speed again tonight. See Him First showed his best form for a while in his heat and he really powered to the line. From the wide draw he will need everything to go his way but he is too good to dismiss. Hostile is probably the most gifted chaser in the event, however he has done his best racing when drawn closer to the rails.
Top Four: 3 – 1 – 7 – 5
Win bet on Quick Succession
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,7 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,3/1,3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)
Race 7 – 595M Grade 5 Final – 9:11PM
Quality middle distance final and I think the box draw will play a major role in the result. Agent Jack proved that the step up in distance was no problem when scoring a dazzling 34.18 heat win here last week and from the red he should get every chance to repeat the dose. His first section of 9.14 was easily the fastest of all the finalists and his run home time was quite strong also, with this being the case he should be able to lead from go to whoa.
Echelonic Action showed tremendous improvement when scoring here last week in 34.55, after a slow start he worked his way through the field before powering to the line to post a convincing victory. His box manners are always a concern but he should be able to follow Lunar Tom across in the early stages. Lunar Tom is the interesting runner, in his heat he wasn’t able to lead and therefore he was never going to go past the leader. He is a big time non-chaser but if he happens to ping to the front he should be able to show his best form. The last 40m is still a worry, but if he is on the bunny and chasing he will prove hard to reel in.
Top Four: 1 – 7 – 6 – 2
Trifecta: 1/2,6,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,7/1,2,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 1 to rove with 2,6,7 ($3 for 100%)
Race 8 – 515M Free For All – 9:35PM
Marcus Joe is aiming for a hat-trick of wins and if he can get away on terms he should be able to get the job done. Since returning from a spell he has won two of his three starts with the latest being here in a sizzling 29.34. On that occasion he sat just off the speed and hit the line strongly, tonight’s event doesn’t feature a whole lot of early speed and he should be able to cross and settle in the first two again.
Dream It was a tad disappointing at The Meadows on the weekend when finishing third but his form prior had been strong and he seems to race better at this venue. He has a slow beginner drawn on either side which should allow him to get a clear run to the first bend and if he gets through the first turn unscathed he will surely make his presence felt. Awesome Project is obviously a chance. Surprisingly he was run down here last week but he should be a lot better for that run. Clone Your Own, who reeled in Awesome Project last week, isn’t really suited in tonight’s event. He is desperate for the outside and he is likely to find too much trouble as they head for the first turn.
Top Four: 7 – 2 – 5 – 3
Win bet on Marcus Joe
Trifecta: 2,7/2,3,5,7/2,3,5,7,8 ($18 for 100%)
Race 9 – 715M Grade 5 – 9:55PM
Blinker’s On is making his much anticipated staying debut and he finds himself in quite a weak race. Being a slow beginner, the first 50m is obviously very crucial to his chances but if he can get a fairly clear run in the early stages he should put them to the sword as they head off the back straight. He is no certainty to run out the trip, but his efforts here over the 595m journey suggest that he should have no trouble covering the extra ground.
Looby Lu has struggled in her previous two staying attempts, however tonight she faces a significant drop in class. She is normally a very reliable beginner and I would expect her to establish a massive lead mid race. Obviously the last 60m is still a concern but the lack of depth in tonight’s race will allow her to get a much cheaper lead and therefore run out the journey a little stronger. Zipping Makka looks the obvious one to fill the minor end of the money. He is well drawn out wide and should also appreciate the drop in class.
Top Four: 2 – 7 – 8 – 3
Trifecta: 2/3,7,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/3,7,8/3,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Boxed Trifecta: 2,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Race 10 – 595M Mixed 4/5 – 10:12PM
This race looks to be a race in two between likely leader Especially and the powerhouse chaser My Bro Fabio. I’m going with the early speed of Especially. In her two recent runs here she has shown explosive early speed and in her latest effort she was only nabbed right on the line. Obviously she will have to lead clearly again, but other than Frank Furter there isn’t any other chaser that can match her early brilliance.
My Bro Fabio is an enormous talent and his recent 29.79 Meadows win was breathtaking. He will need a lot of luck as they head into the first turn from the wide draw, but if he can settle mid pack he will be in the finish. Mystic Twist could be the smokey in the event. She has scored some strong wins here over 515m and gives every indication that the step up in distance should suit. She has a wide runner drawn directly outside and that should allow her to get a clear passage in the early stages.
Top Four: 2 – 7 – 3 – 8
Trifecta: 2,7/2,7/Field ($12 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,7/2,3,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Race 11 – 515M Grade 5 – 10:32PM
Dyna Nico is a very reliable beginner and appears to be getting better and stronger with every run. She had been leading good fields and folding up late in her races, but at her last start she showed that she had found quite a fair bit. After stepping cleanly she posted quick sectionals before scoring in a very zippy 30.15 at The Meadows. If she can repeat that effort tonight she should get the cash again.
Baron Bling has been racing in great style and he is aiming for four in a row. The only concern with him is that his past three victories have been from wide draws. His box manners aren’t great but he does have a great turn of foot and if he gets some room early he should be able to make an impact. Dyna Fancy is a reliable beginner and has been racing in very consistent style. I would expect her to be matching motors with Dyna Nico early on. To win she would have to cross her in the first 80m and I don’t think she can, however she will be in the mix early and therefore she must be included in your exotic bets.
Top Four: 5 – 3 – 7 – 1
Trifecta: 3,5,7/3,5,7/1,2,3,4,5,7 ($24 for 100%)
Exacta: 3,5,7/1,3,5,7 ($9 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,5,7 ($6 for 100%)
Race 12 – 515M Grade 5 – 10:52PM
Billy Rocket has won three of his eight tries here and showed his true ability with a slick 30.01 Meadows win recently. He has a bit of speed drawn outside, but if he gets away on terms he should be able to settle on the heels of White Spyro and be able to burn her off as they head off the back straight.
Allen Malik is a big talent and he hasn’t been racing with a lot of luck in recent times. He has been bombing the start recently and therefore finding bother soon after box rise. Tonight he has a keen railer drawn directly underneath and that should allow him to get a little more room in the early stages. White Spyro is a great place hope. She is expected to lead for a long way, but it is likely she will get a stitch in the closing stages. It may be worth anchoring her for third and fourth in your exotic bets.
Top Four: 2 – 5 – 4 – 3
Trifecta: 2,5/2,3,4,5/2,3,4,5,7,8 ($24 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,5/2,3,4,5 ($6 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 2,4,5 ($3 for 100%)
Leg 1: 4,7,8
Leg 2: 1,2,3,5,7
Leg 3: 1
Leg 4: 2,5,7
$45 for 100%
Race 3: Yakamov Bale
Race 10: Mystic Twist