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Race 4: Duchess Bale
Race 7: Jewel Bale
Race 11: Dyna Synch
Race 1: Little Red
Leg 1: 3,4,5,6,7 – Leg 2: 1,2,6,8 – Leg 3: 3 – Leg 4: 1,5,6,7 – $80 for 100%
1st: $7,200 2nd: $2,060 3rd: $1,025.
Shall She Rock has been racing in great style of late and off the front mark she looks the goods. Last week she came from off the speed to score at Cranbourne in a slick 41.63 and the field she meets tonight is similar in depth.
Little Red could be the value in the event, she is going to go around at massive odds but she is much better than her recent form indicates. From the front mark she could ping the lids and find the early lead and before coming to Victoria she had posted some slick Wentworth Park wins over this journey. Beks will be giving them a head start but he does his best racing here, if he can avoid early bother he should be right in the mix. Lady Toy will start favourite and she is super consistent, she will be giving them a massive head start but she has fantastic track sense.
Top Four: 8 – 4 – 3 – 1
Win bets on Shall She Rock and Little Red
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,4,8 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 4,8/1,3,4,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,4,8/1,3,4,8/1,3,4,5,7,8 ($36 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Quarrel Bale showed a great turn of foot in his handy 30.42 debut win here last week and from the good draw he should go back to back. There isn’t a lot of early speed underneath him and provided he steps on terms, he should be able to find the lead as they head into the first turn.
Adam Handler has been placed in his three tries here and his effort two runs back was impressive. He can be a little slow to begin, but he should be able to clear the red early and that will allow him to settle in a prominent position. Margins is in good hands and he was a solid 30.72 debut heat winner, the time wasn’t impressive but he had to work hard in the early stages and I would expect him to find a fair bit on the clock.
Top Four: 8 – 2 – 5 – 4
Win bets Quarrel Bale and Adam Handler
Boxed Quinella: 2,4,5,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,8/2,4,5,8/2,4,5,6,7,8 ($24 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,5,8/2,4,5,8 ($9 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Ousai Bale has won three of six to date and his latest victory was over this journey in a smart 30.38, on that occasion he beat the speed Allen Icarus, if he can step cleanly tonight he should be able to drive to the early lead and I would expect him to get down to the 30.20 or faster mark.
Flame Bale has the good draw and she was far from disgraced when placed behind the class Dyna Fancy here last time. She musters pace very quickly in her races and she should be able to match motors with Ousai Bale for a long way. Come On Fantasy has been racing in consistent style and she hit the line strongly when placed at Shepparton over 450m recently. Her recent efforts suggest that she should have no trouble with the extra distance. Laurie’s Chance rounds out the chances, he will get a long way back early but he will hit the line hard.
Top Four: 2 – 1 – 5 – 3
Exacta: 1,2/1,2,3,5 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 2 to rove with 1,3,5 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,3,5/1,2,3,5,6,8 ($24 for 100%)
1st: $6,120 2nd: $1,750 3rd: $875.
There looks to be only a few genuine winning chances in this event and it’s hard to look past the odds on favourite Duchess Bale. Two runs back she pinged the lids and reeled on sizzling sectionals when scoring at Sandown in 34.21. Tonight there is no pace drawn around her so I would expect her to get a cheap lead and turn in a similar performance.
Cornelius Fudge is armed with a big finish and he is much better than his recent form suggests. He should be able to find the rail in the early stages and settle mid pack. I think Duchess Bale may get too far in front of him early but he looks a solid quinella proposition. Nureyev could be value, he hasn’t had a lot of luck in recent weeks and he will be hitting the line hard, he could be nice odds for the place. Reen’s Fabian has a heap of talent but he will need luck in the first 50m, drawn out in seven, he will need to step on terms and avoid crowding.
Top Four: 2 – 3 – 4 – 7
Trifecta: 2/3,4,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/3,4,7/1,3,4,7 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2,3/2,3/Field ($12 for 100%)
Exacta: 2/3,4,7 ($3 for 100%)
1st: $12,000 2nd: $3,500 3rd: $1,750 GOBIS: $5,000.
Left Is Right has won two of her four starts to date and those two wins came over this track and trip. He is armed with an explosive turn of foot and he should have sufficient speed to find the early lead. He has a 30.24 PB but I think with a few runs under his belt he should be able to get down to the 30.10 or faster mark.
Smith And Wesson scored a commanding 30.36 heat win and he continues to improve with more racing, he should get a nice cart across early from Left Is Right and if he happens to find the bunny early he will be running time. Quicker Than Al is never far away over this journey and he broke through for a well deserved 30.56 heat win. Macca’s Sway could be value in the event, he didn’t have much luck in his heat but he was still good enough to run home into second spot.
Top Four: 5 – 6 – 3 – 4
Win bet on Left Is Right
Trifecta: 5,6/3,4,5,6/2,3,4,5,6,7 ($24 for 100%)
Exacta: 5,6/3,4,5,6 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 5 to rove with 3,4,6 ($3 for 100%)
1st: $6,260 2nd: $1,790 3rd: $890.
Dyna Yemen is an exciting prospect and he just keeps on winning. Two starts ago he showed a tremendous turn of foot before posting a sizzling 30.06 victory here and he appears ready to take the step to the next level. There isn’t a lot of speed drawn around him so he should get plenty of room in the first 50m.
Dyna Ishaan has been racing well on the provincial circuit and he does have a blistering 29.88 PB here, the only concern with him is that he is yet to win from this draw and he is a keen railer. Sisco Good has a good record here and he beat a handy line-up in his 30.30 victory here recently. Woodnear has the good draw and he has the speed to hold the early lead, his last 40m isn’t very strong but he should be able to hold on for a place.
Top Four: 6 – 8 – 2 – 1
Trifecta: 6/1,2,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Quinella: 6 to rove with 1,2,8 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 6,8/1,2,6,8 ($6 for 100%)
1st: $5,320 2nd: $1,520 3rd: $760.
Jewel Bale drops considerably in class tonight and there should be no excuses. She has been racing with limited luck of late but this is clearly the weakest event she has contested for a while and she should return to the winners list.
Groove Girl stormed home when placed here last time and she shouldn’t be too far away again. She is a little hit or miss early but when she hits she is capable of running time on the bunny. Allen Gravion is in great form at present but the only concern tonight is the awkward draw, he isn’t the greatest of beginners and he will need all the breaks in the first 50m. Dynamic Punch could be the surprise packet in the race, he should get a clear run from the pink draw and he is much better than his recent efforts suggest.
Top Four: 3 – 4 – 5 – 8
Trifecta: 3/4,5,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 3,4,5/3,4,5,8 ($9 for 100%)
Quinella: 3 to rove with 4,5,8 ($3 for 100%)
1st: $25,000 2nd: $7,150 3rd: $3,500 GOBIS: $10,000.
Xylia Allen returned from a NSW trip and she appeared to be a little flat in the run home last week. Tonight I would expect her to settle on the speed again and she should hit the line a lot better this week. She is all class and $4 is a ridiculous price about a champion, I’m sure connections will have her cherry ripe for this.
Zipping Maggie is racing in enormous fashion and her effort at Wentworth Park two runs back when scoring in 41.78 was ultra impressive. She should settle in the top three again tonight and she will make Xylia Allen earn her victory. Sweet It Is charged home and was pretty unlucky in her heat, she is likely to suffer a similar result tonight. She will trail them early and be in bother, she should be able to run home into the minor money. Dyna Willow bounced back to her brilliant best with a sizzling 42.58 heat win and she is drawn to make a big impact again. People seem to be forgetting that around six months ago she was the next big thing in the staying ranks, with last week’s confidence booster, she should make a big impact tonight.
Top Four: 5 – 7 – 6 – 1
Win bets on Xylia Allen and Dyna Willow
Trifecta: 5,7/1,5,6,7/1,2,5,6,7,8 ($24 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Above All is an excitement machine and if he can reproduce his breathtaking 29.33 Sandown Park win three runs back he will put a space in them. He is probably better suited to a wide draw but his he has a dazzling turn of foot and that should allow him to drive through into a prominent position early.
Satsuki Bale is drawn to hold the early lead and she is showing plenty of promise. Three starts ago she posted a strong 26.07 Geelong win and with a 525m hit out last time she should be ready to run this journey out strongly. Dyna Keitaro continues to improve with more racing and he really caught the eye when he smashed his rivals at Horsham in 27.16.
Top Four: 2 – 1 – 3 – 4
Boxed Quinella: 1,2,3,4 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,2/1,2,3,4 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/1,3,4/1,3,4 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/1,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $5,000 2nd: $1,430 3rd: $720.
Dyna Lemmy is a promising speedster and he was placed behind a gun speedster here two runs back. He can ping the lids on occasions and with a good get away tonight I can see him leading at the first bend. With a clear passage I believe he has the potential to get down to the 30 flat mark and that would be enough to score here.
Dyna Fancy is a reliable beginner and she scored a handy all the way win here last time in 30.48, she will produce a similar effort tonight and that should see her finish in the money. Bremer is well placed in the pink and he is due for a change of luck. He has scored some slick wins in his brief career and he just needs to get through the first turn unscathed to make a big impact. Airbound is the run on dog in the event and he must be included in your exotic bets.
Top Four: 4 – 6 – 8 – 1
Win bet on Dyna Lemmy
Quinella: 4 to rove with 1,6,8 ($3 for 100%)
Boxed Quinella: 1,4,6,8 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 4,6,8/1,4,6,8 ($9 for 100%)
Race 11 – 525M Grade 5 – 10:42PM
Dyna Synch caught the eye with a strong 27.12 Horsham win last time and he is drawn to get the cash again. He lacks early speed, however from the red he should be able to settle a little bit closer to the speed and when he gets some open space off the back straight I would expect him to put them to the sword.
Erza Allen has won here previously in a speedy 30.18 and if she can get away cleanly she should make the favourite work hard for victory. She can be hard to follow at times but there is no speed around her tonight and she should get every chance to lead. Hunter Rocks is highly promising and he recently gapped a handy field when scoring here in 30.39, he would need to lead to win but he does have more than enough speed to cross. Lachlan Bear has dazzling mid race pace and he should get a nice cart across in the early stages, if he goes around at silly odds he may be worth a saver bet.
Top Four: 1 – 5 – 7 – 8
Win bet on Dyna Synch
Trifecta: 1/5,7,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,5/1,5,7,8 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 1 to rove with 5,7,8 ($3 for 100%)