Wenty Park And Geelong Tips & Betting Preview July 18th 2014

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GEELONG

Race 5 – 520M Grade 5 Final – 8:28PM

Pretty even affair but I think Allen Malik may have too much natural dash for this lot. In the middle of June he recorded two breathtaking Warragul wins in 25.71 and 25.87 and a repeat of any of those two efforts will see him get the cash in convincing fashion. He can bomb the start at times but he has the benefit of slow beginners drawn on each side and that should allow him to still lead even if he is a tad slow to begin.

Superstar Magic looks to be the main danger after he scored a smart 30.42 heat win last week. He can be very hit or miss at box rise, but from the pink he should be afforded sufficient room in the early stages and he should be able to carve across and settle in the first two. Dyna York is the run on dog in the race, he is very slow early but once he hits his stride he can take ground off the best of them.

Top Four: 5 – 8 – 6 – 1

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on Allen Malik

Trifecta: 5,6,8/5,6,8/1,2,3,5,6,8 ($24 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,5,8/6/Field ($18 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1,5,8/Field/6 ($18 for 100%)

Quinella: 5 to rove with 1,6,8 ($3 for 100%)

 

Race 6 – 460M VBIS Maiden Final – 8:47PM

The second leg of the quaddie sees a group of promising youngsters set to do battle. After two rounds of heats, the Brooke Ennis trained Scheme looks to be the standout. In his two starts to date he has stepped cleanly and showed tremendous early speed before scoring two sizzling wins in 25.60 and 25.62 respectively. He appears to be about five lengths superior to any other competitor in the series and with his explosive early speed it is hard to see them getting near him.

Bush Caviar has won his two heats aswell and in his second start he looked extremely comfortable once he got out wide and into some open space. From the seven box he should get plenty of room early and he should fill the quinella spot. Almani Bruiser and Bush Rebel appear to be the other main place hopes, both have performed well to date and if something happens to the favoured two, they should be there to capitalise.

Top Four: 2 – 7 – 1 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Trifecta: 2/1,3,7/1,3,7 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/1,3,7/Field ($18 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/7/Field ($6 for 100%)

 

Race 7 – 460M Grade 5 – 9:10PM

Another quality line-up but there appears to be only three genuine winning hopes with the best of them being Crackerjack Dak who has drawn in the coveted red box. Before his last start failure he had been placed in three of his previous five starts with three of those being Metropolitan wins. From the red he should be able to punch through soon after box rise and they will have a hell of a time trying to reel him while he is running sub 25.60 on the bunny.

Jewel Bale hasn’t experienced a lot of luck in her two runs from a spell but she is a class act when on song. She should be much better for those two runs and from box two, she should be able to trail Crackerjack Dak through in the early stages and although I didn’t think she will pick him up, she will definitely make him earn his victory. Oscura is the other chance in the event, he is an enormous talent but he can do a lot of things wrong in his races. If he gets away cleanly, he then becomes a genuine winning threat.

Top Four: 1 – 2 – 4 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Exacta: 1,2/1,2,3,4 ($6 for 100%)

Exacta: 1/2,3,4 ($3 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/2,3,4/2,3,4 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/2,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/2/Field ($6 for 100%)

 

Race 8 – 460M Mixed 3/4 – 9:28PM

Since joining the powerful Thompson kennel, the talented Whodat Knockin’ appears to have finally put it altogether. He followed his blistering 25.78 Warragul win with a dazzling 25.24 Shepparton win on Monday and it appears he is drawn to notch up a hat trick of wins. Mepunga Fearon should punch through and lead early and that should allow Whodat Knockin’ to get the nice sit early and he should prove far too powerful in the run home.

Likely leader Mepunga Fearon has been racing in good style of late and his 25.66 PB here is evidence that he is no slouch. He will be setting a cracking pace and although he is normally quite strong I don’t think he will be able to withstand the pressure being applied by the favourite in the run to the line. They should run the quinella quite easily and the minor end of the money looks to be a battle between in three. Premier Event, Dyna Ishaan and Franklin Senior are the only other place hopes and they are really hard to split.

Top Four: 2 – 1 – 7 – 8

Suggested Bets:

Trifecta: 1,2/1,2/3,7,8 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/1/3,7,8 ($3 for 100%)

Trifecta: 2/1,3,7,8/1,3,7,8 ($12 for 100%)

 

Quaddies

Leg 1: 5 Leg 1: 1,5,6,8
Leg 2: 2 Leg 2: 2
Leg 3: 1,2 Leg 3: 1,2,4
Leg 4: 1,2 Leg 4: 1,2

$4 For 100% $24 For 100%

Best Bet:

Race 9: Bayman Bale

Best Roughie:

Race 4: Pepper Fozz

 

 

WENTWORTH PARK

 

Race 5 – 720M Mixed 4/5 – 8:40PM

Good race to open up the quaddie and I think the well drawn Suit’s Us will prove hard to beat. After a fairly successful staying campaign, connections had dropped him back to the 500m trip and he was far from disgraced in those runs and that means he should be a lot sharper early when stepping back up to tonight’s journey. He is a keen railer and his record here is tremendous, if he can get away cleanly he really should get the cash.

Pumped Up Zarr is the obvious danger, he can be hard to follow at times but he is brilliant when on song. He returned to form with an impressive 610m Grafton win last week and he has won over this trip previously in a more than handy 42.23. Miss Fiction is the only other winning hope but she is more of a great place chance. She will get a long way out of her ground early but she will be steaming home late in the piece.

Top Four: 1 – 4 – 2 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Trifecta: 1,4/1,2,4/1,2,3,4,7 ($12 for 100%)

Exacta: 1,4/1,2,4 ($6 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/2,3,4/Field ($15 for 100%)

 

Race 6 – 520M Mixed 4/5 – 8:58PM

It is always hard to put Watto Lotto on top but this really does look to be his race. He has been placed in five of his past six and on each occasion he has ripped home from a long way back. From the red he should be able to settle in the first half and he should prove way too strong for his rivals in the run home.

Paula Dawn is expected to lead the event, after a long run of outs she returned to a more suitable trip and scored a confidence boosting 20.97 Nowra win. That form isn’t really great but she showed better box manners and with her natural early speed she should be able to build up a big lead mid race. She will stop in the home straight but she should be able to hold on for a place. Stylish Jenmar is a highly talented chaser but he can crash to the fence soon after box rise and he will be relying on a lot of luck to feature.

Top Four: 1 – 4 – 6 – 5

Suggested Bets:

Trifecta: 1,4,6/1,4,6/Field ($36 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/4,5,6/Field ($18 for 100%)

Trifecta: 1/4,5,6/4,5,6 ($6 for 100%)

Quinella: 1 to rove with 4,5,6 ($3 for 100%)

 

Race 7 – 520M Grade 4 – 9:17PM

Probably the toughest leg of the quaddie and I think we can find some value with the speedy and in form Maria’s Impact. She has won her past two here in impressive fashion and on both occasions she has gone 5.37 or faster to the first marker. A repeat of those sectionals will see her lead and she will give them something to catch.

Shanlyn Patch is another in form chaser and he has the ideal draw. He is a notable wide runner and provided he can step on terms he should find himself in contention very early on as he has broken 30 seconds in both of his wins here. Cloud Ten is the interesting runner, he is one of the more talented chasers in the field but he has pace drawn either side and he can bomb the start on occasions. Droopy’s Bay and Highly Respected must both go into your quaddie selections.

Top Four: 5 – 8 – 6 – 3

Suggested Bets:

Win bets on Maria’s Impact and Shanlyn Patch

Boxed Quinella: 3,5,6,8 ($6 for 100%)

Boxed Exacta: 3,5,6,8 ($12 for 100%)

 

Race 8 – 520M Mixed 3/4 -9:40PM

My Kinda Music is an electric beginner and she looks to be the banker in the quaddie. She has faultless box manners and she has gone sub 5.40 to the first marker here on three occasions. There is a fair bit of speed in boxes one, three and five but I think she has sufficient speed to burn them off and should be a matter of times and margins as they head for the back straight.

I’m Pedro came to town with big wraps and it took him a few runs to put it altogether, however his two wins here in recent weeks showed spectators that he is the real deal. He is armed with early speed and like the favourite he is reliable early but I think he will have a little trouble crossing tonight so the quinella spot looks best for him. Tainted Luke has won four of eight here and once he carves up the dogs on his inside he should settle in third spot and grab the minor money.

Top Four: 4 – 5 – 3 – 1

Suggested Bets:

Win bet on My Kinda Music (if you can get $2.20 or better)

Trifecta: 4,5/4,5/1,3,7,8 ($8 for 100%)

Trifecta: 4/5/1,3,7,8 ($4 for 100%)

 

Quaddie:

Leg 1: 1,4
Leg 2: 1,4,6
Leg 3: 2,3,5,6,7,8
Leg 4: 4

$36 for 100%

Take for more units with Watto Lotto in the second leg.

 

Best Bet:

Race 2: Kool Larocca

Best Roughie:

Race 9: Spanky’s Legacy

Past Discussion