Welcome to Australian Racing Greyhound’s free Greyhound Racing Tips forTuesday 17th March 2009 with Tips tonight from Albion Park (Queensland), Gosford (New South Wales), Lismore (New South Wales), Warragul (Victoria) and Mandurah (West Australia).
Yesterday’s Greyhound Racing tips were a case of just missed. We closed the night off with 3 winners, 2 of which were at good prices; and that saw us only 1.5 bets down on the best bookmakers return at Betfair. But we went so very close to a very good night.
We went very close with Tearaway Tanya and the luxury odds of over $7.00 when she copped a check at a vital time running second and ultitmately finished in the same spot. Lochinvar Pole was another who should have bolted in , but instread finished last. He was cruising to the lead and was about 9/10’s of a length in front when his litter-mate and kennel-mate tooks his hind legs straight off him and he all but fell. From first to last in 5 metres.
Consequently those laying our tips at Betfair got the best of it but only just with long odds on winner Going Mad wiping out much of the profits from the previous losers, who all started at good odds.
With tonight’s Greyhound Racing coming from Albion Park (Queensland), Gosford (New South Wales), Lismore (New South Wales), Warragul (Victoria) and Mandurah (West Australia); lets just recap our betting advice for these tracks.
Albion Park was the first track in Australia to move to the finish-on lure system and it is definitely the better of the two Queensland TAB tracks. A lack of depth in a lot of races can cause upsets at Albion Park when favourites are over-rated or suffer interference. Tread warily when betting on the corner start 600m races; and the 700m races will often throw up odds-on favourites that have alot of weakness about them. The 395m races are out and go affairs that, like all corner starts, are hazards to your punting dollar.
Gosford was rebuilt in the 90’s to replicate the Angle park track layout and that’s exactly what they got. A leader biased track that favours the inside boxes over all distances. The 400m races shjould ber avoided where possible as they are a corner start dominated by intereference. The 515m start is heavily biased to ward the insde four boxes (just like Angle Park) due to the short run to the corner and the fact the boxes are a long way off the track. The 600m starts again favour the inside four boxes and as a corner start punters need to identify leaders or good field dogs. There are very few races run over the 731m distance.
Lismore is almost circular in shape and consequently has two corner starts over the 420m and 635m starts, with box 1 heavily favoured over 420m and box 2 an absolute standout advantage over the 635m. The 520m start advantages the two inside boxes with box 8 next in preference. Again very few 722m races are held but the two inside boxes are advantaged due to the fact that it is very hard to make ground out wide and railers with early pace are advantaged over all distances.
Warragul race over only two distances, the 424m and the 699m journeys. The track is a leader biased track that strongly favours the red box runners over the 424m trip with more than 20% of winners exiting that box. Often plagued by interference in the curving back straight and entering the corner, the eight box is the next best as it is drawn to miss most of the trouble. There are very few races run over the 699m.
Mandurah can be a punters graveyard, the 492m distance, 647m distance and the 302m distances are corner starts and even the 405m start is only a short run before the corner. Good beginners are decidedly advantaged as are the red boxes over all 3 shorter distances.
Warragul – Race 5 – Box 3 – Cordozar
Last starts Warrnambool winner who is a quick beginner and wel suited to Warragul. Already had 1 starts here for 1 win and with slow beginners inside, should get the right run.
Warragul – Race 6 – Box 1 – Crusade
Impressive last starts winner here and has no won 2 and run 2nd in 2 of his last 4 starts. Move to box 1 only helps. Should win.
Warragul – Race 8 – Box 1 – Hanify’s Impact
Good beginner asn last start Horsham Cup second, just getting run down by Velocette. Boxed in the 1 Hanify’s Impact is a graded certainty.
Gosford – Race 2 – Box 2 – Take The Kitty
Ken Cheetham trained Take The Kitty can be expensive but with a vacant box to his outside, should get a good enough run here to add to his win total. The winner of only 2 from 11 with 6 seconds and 1 third has trouble finding the line in front, but definitely has ability.
Gosford – Race 5 – Box 5 – My Half Brother
My Half Brother has won 3 of his 4 lifetime starts with all 3 wins coming in his last 3 runs and all in best of day times at Nowra and Bulli. A good beginner with obvious ability, he should be too good for these.
Gosford – Race 6 – Box 6 – Just A Fly
Another Ken Cheetham trained runner who has 3 of 8 starts at Gosford with a further placing and is a good beginner. Wining 3 starts in a row before failing behind Magnifique at Bulli 2 months ago, Just A fly comes in here fresh and ready to run.
Lismore – Race 7 – Box 4 – Watts Wise
The Lee Wylie trained Watts Wise has a good record of 4 wins and 5 placings from 10 starts on the track and distance, and should improve his recent form from Albion Park bact here at Lismore. With vacant boxes either side to offset the poor squeeze box draw, he should be winning this.
Lismore – Race 10 – Box 1 – He’s Classy
Last start 30.31 winner off this box and no reason to say a similar won’t win him another race tonight. Despite having only won 2 of 19 starts, we’ll go with the confidence theory and say that He’s Classy can go on with the job here; and probably has too.
Albion Park – Race 7 – Box 7 – Jay Jay Blue
A winner of 5 of his 10 starts with 4 placings and winning 4 of 6 starts at Albion Park, with a last starst 30.78 at this track and distance, Jay Jay Blue has more ability than most others in this race and should lead and win despite the wide box draw.
Mandurah – Race 6 – Box 1 – Punk On Ice
Punk On Ice didn’t do alot wrong here last week, running second by a little over 2 lengths in fair time from box 2. Has obviously had some issues being a January 2006 whelping but last weeks run was full of merit and going again from the same box doesn’t do her chances any harm. No tougher than last week.
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NTBBA File (Never To Be Backed Again)
Australian Racing Greyhound Specials (Follow Up On Them Next Start)
Physical (Dapto, Bulli, Richmond)
Punk Appeal ( > 600m races)
Cyclone Ned (Victoria)
Uno Express (Victoria)
Tearaway Tanya (New South Wales)
Sardius (Victoria – short races / wide draws)
Lochinvar Polo (New South Wales)
Like Iron Mike (Horsham)