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Race 1 – 520M Heat – 7:28PM
In form trainer Darren McDonald looks to be in for a big night again and he should get the ball rolling in race one. Awesome Project looks perfectly placed out in box eight and with a keen railer drawn directly underneath he should get a clear passage early. He has won here in 29.86 previously and a repeat of that will see him win again.
Stilton Blue looks the likely leader and he can run very quick times on the lure. My only concern is that if he gets a little bit of pressure applied early, he may come unstuck in the final stages. Being Good will hit the line hard and she must be included in the exotics.
Top Four: 8 – 5 – 1 – 4
Trifecta: 8/1,4,5/Field ($18 for $1)
Trifecta: 8/5/Field ($6 for $1)
Trifecta: 5,8/5,8/Field ($12 for $1)
Race 2 – 720M Association Cup Heat One – 7:47PM
The brilliant Xylia Allen has been in rare form of late having broken two track records in her past two starts, however I still don’t believe she is a true and genuine stayer. I expect Xylia Allen to establish a big lead but the strong Infinite Wish should be within striking distance as they head for home. Infinite Wish has recorded some top placing’s at Sandown in recent times and she looks perfectly placed in a race which is sure to have a fast pace set.
Set Her Again has struggled in her two runs here but she is a whole lot better than that. She recently recorded a sub 35 win at Albion over 600 metres and has indicated in her past couple of runs that she is now crying out for the 700 metre journey. Alpe D’Huez is another runner who is in hot form and he looks to be a genuine chance also.
I believe this is a great value race. Xylia Allen is a big take on, she should hold on for second or third, but I think that a stronger type will haul her in late, so her winning chances are diminished.
Top Four: 2 – 5 – 1 – 6
Suggested Bet: Win bets on Infinite Wish and Set Her Again
Trifecta: 2,5,6/1/Field ($18 for $1)
Trifecta: 2,5,6/Field/1 ($18 for $1)
Race 3 – 720M Association Cup Heat Two – 8:10PM
The powerful Sweet It Is produced a monster effort to score at Sandown last week at her second start for the Darren McDonald kennel. She seemed to show a little more early dash than normal last start before getting knocked over and if she can reproduce that better speed initially tonight she will be able to settle much closer to the pace. The fact that there are at least four front runners in this line up just enhances her chances even more. With the presence of Dyna Willow, Ash Flash and Born Ali, it is very likely that you may see $4.00 or better for Sweet It Is, enormous value.
Dyna Willow is expected to start a short priced favourite and rightly so. She is coming off a track record performance over this track and trip and in that performance she powered to the line. The box draw is her toughest opponent tonight, Ash Flash likes to use a bit of the track and there is every chance Dyna Willow will be posted wide for most of the trip.
Born Ali was soundly beaten when runner up here last time but she is much better than that performance.
Top Four: 3 – 1 – 5 – 2
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Sweet It Is, rove in quinellas with 1,2,5
Race 4 – 720M Association Cup Heat Three – 8:27PM
This is probably the toughest heat of the three. Established staying star Dyna Kayla looks the top pick and with any sort of luck early she should win, however we see up and comer Rocky Bale and the consistent Hailstorm Billy who makes his long awaited staying debut.
For me, it is too hard to look past Dyna Kayla. The Andrea Dailly trained chaser has the runs on the board and she is likely to be out in front and avoiding any trouble. She has had little luck in her past four runs but prior to that she had won 10 of her 14 career starts. If you can find $2.50 or better then I suggest you unleash.
Rocky Bale is the most intriguing runner of the series, he is taking on the big guns for the first time over the staying trip and he races as though this journey is right down his alley. My biggest concern is that he likes to run wide and being his first look at Wentworth Park he may get a little lost through the turns.
The enigmatic Cawbourne Looney must be kept safe also, she doesn’t always show her best but her best is quite amazing.
Top Four: 3 – 1 – 5 – 6
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Dyna Kayla, anchor in exactas with 1,5,6
Race 5 – 520M Golden Easter Egg Semi Final One – 8:50PM
Now we arrive to the major players of the night. We kick start the first semi with the reigning Perth Cup champion Keybow who smashed a quality line up here last week in 29.45. I’m going to start sounding like a broken record, but like last week I think Keybow is a risk tonight (he made me look silly last week). In tonight’s event he has loads of early speed drawn either side which should mean that he will be strung up in traffic early, which should allow his kennelmate Where’s The Surf to head through the first bend with a commanding lead.
Where’s The Surf has produced three solid performances here in recent times with the most impressive being from this draw when scoring in 29.71, a repeat of that will see him get the cash tonight.
I have anticipated that the outside draws will be finding bother, this should give classy veteran Ritza Ryder a chance to show his best and qualify for another Group Race final. He loves to rail and his form hasn’t been too bad of late.
Obviously Keybow has the talent edge but like I hinted earlier, tonight’s box draw may pose a major problem.
Top Four: 1 – 2 – 3 – 7
Suggested Bet: Win bets on both Where’s The Surf and Ritza Ryder, more on Where’s The Surf.
Race 6 – 520M Golden Easter Egg Semi Final Two – 9:15PM
Heat number two looks pretty straight forward for mine. Talented Tasmanian Varcoe looks perfectly drawn out wide and he is sure to have derived plenty of benefit from last week’s look at the track. He recently broke 25 seconds in a trial at Maitland he is the reigning Launceston Cup champion over a similar distance. Dyna Nalin is expected to start a short priced favourite but I think he will be giving Varcoe an almighty head start. Varcoe should be around the $6.50 mark or better, definitely worth an each way ticket.
Dyna Nalin is coming off a sizzling 29.69 heat win last week, however the red draw played a major role in that victory. There is no doubting this superstars ability but there are plenty of negatives for him tonight. Being a slow beginner is never an advantage and box six is a disastrous draw for a notorious railer. I think we can let other punters snap up the short odds about this one.
Shadow Lane may be the surprise packet in the race, I think he will start double figures but with some luck initially he may find himself in strong contention off the back straight. Warrior King has been in great form of late but like Dyna Nalin the box draw may be his undoing tonight.
Top Four: 7 – 6 – 4 – 3
Suggested Bet: Have a little crack at Varcoe, very keen on this one.
Race 7 – 520M Golden Easter Egg Semi Final Three – 9:35PM
This looks to be the most open of the heats. Buckle Up Wes has taken all before him of late. He recently captured the Group One Australian Cup and he set the track alight here last week with a 29.56 heat win. Like a few of the top fancies in earlier heats, tonight’s box draw looks to pose a problem for the favourite.
Musquin Bale has drawn ideally in box eight and he was far from disgraced when runner up behind Buckle Up Wes last week. Tonight he should once again gain a clear run whilst Wes is likely to be weaving his way through some traffic. In these sort of races there is very little separating each runner talent wise, so sometimes it is often better to look for value this is why I have put Musquin Bale ahead of the favourite.
Ritza Flare is another who has the suitable draw, last week she was handily placed here and being her first run from a spell, she is sure to have derived a lot of benefit from that run. As stated earlier, Buckle Up Wes clearly has the class and talent edge but box draws can bring the best undone sometimes.
Top Four: 8 – 1 – 4 – 6
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Musquin Bale, rove in quinellas with 1,4,6
Race 8 – 520M Golden Easter Egg Semi Final Four – 9:58PM
The inside draws appear to hold the key to this race. I am expecting Iona Tokyo to fire to the early lead. In her past three wins she has gone 5.40 or better to the first marker and still managed to finish off around the solid 29.70 mark. With Iona Tokyo likely to set the speed, Tonk looks set to get the nice drop on her early and if he is within two lengths of her off the back he should have her measure. Three runs ago he reeled off a sizzling 29.57 win here and when given clear galloping space this bloke can really let down.
The quinella looks pretty straight forward on paper, with the inside two dominating the event, however if everything doesn’t go to plan, the swooper Gradence may come into play. He is likely to get a mile out of his ground but he will be unleashing a barnstorming finish late. I think it would be best to anchor him for third and fourth in your exotics as I believe he may be giving the two leaders a massive head start.
Hawk Alone has some small claims but he will need to do everything right in the early stages, whilst Dark Warrior may find some of these too slick for his liking.
Top Four: 2 – 1 – 4 – 7
Trifecta: 1,2/1,2/4,7 ($4 for $1)
First Four: 1,2/1,2,7/4/Field ($20 for $1)
First Four: 1,2/1,2,7/Field/4 ($20 for $1)
Race 9 – 520M Special Event Heat – 10:18PM
Rumble Comet should cap off a top night for the kennel. In recent times he has scored two sub 30 wins at The Meadows and both times he had to overcome plenty of difficulties. All he has to do is get through the first turn still standing and he should feature.
Bearded Midget has blistering early speed but I think he is a doubt to run the trip and he may also need a look at the track. Triumphant One could be the smokey, he was far from disgraced in his last start placing here.
Top Four: 7 – 5 – 4 – 8
Trifecta: 7/4,5,8/Field ($18 for $1)
Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,5,7/Field ($36 For $1)
Race 10 – 520M Special Event Heat – 10:37PM
Jawlaa is in good form, has the perfect draw and is likely to be short, however tonight she comes up against a number of chasers who have blinding early speed with Army Surplus being the fastest of them all. Army Surplus has an amazing turn of foot soon after box rise and he finally put the time on the board with a brilliant 29.78 win here late last month.
Dyna Geldof should be able to follow Army Surplus across early and this will allow him to be a major player throughout. Billy Buzzard looks to be the other winning hope. Jawlaa is the type that will either win or finish well down the track, tonight I’m tipping well down the track.
Top Four: 3 – 4 – 8 – 5
Suggested Bet: Win bet on Army Surplus, rove in quinella with 4,5,8
Race 11 – 520M Special Event Heat – 10:53PM
The get out stakes looks to be the toughest race of the night with at least six winning chances. Kid Maximus reeled off sizzling sectionals when beating a smart field at Sandown last time. He should be good value in this event.
Ritza Raider faces a big drop in class and with an ounce of luck early he should be right in the finish. He has a top record here and his best performances to date have been from wide draws. Apollo Reign could be the surprise in the event, will be double figures but has the talent to feature. Box draw is his only concern.
Top Four: 2 – 7 – 8 – 3
Suggested Bet: Win bets on Kid Maximus and Ritza Raider, box quinella 2,7,8 ($3 for $1)
1/7/1,4,8/1,2 ($6 for $1)
1/3,4,5,6,7/1,4,8/1,2 ($30 for $1)
1,2,3,7/7/1,4,8/1,2 ($24 for $1)
1,2,3,7/3,4,5,6,7/1,4,8/1,2 ($60 for 50c)